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Rankings
#59 of 107 in Division 7
#20 of 29 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #26 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #80 in D7 (-428 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 24-16 H #565 Montpelier (2-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 19 (81%), perf. rating 55
08/30 L 31-19 A #515 Edon (3-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 12 (27%), perf. rating 62
09/06 W 36-0 A #691 Hilltop (0-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 24 (91%), perf. rating 80
09/12 L 47-14 H #420 Edgerton (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 21 (11%), perf. rating 42
09/19 A #592 Hicksville (1-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 2 (44%)
09/26 H #318 Tinora (1-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/03 A #247 Fairview (Sherwood) (4-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/10 H #519 Wayne Trace (0-4) D6 R22, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/17 H #549 Ayersville (0-4) D6 R22, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/24 A #282 Paulding (4-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 37 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.35 ( 1.20- 9.75) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Lose: 0.75 ( 0.35- 8.40) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 5W: 6.30 ( 4.80- 8.50) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 9%) 4W: 3.60 ( 3.15- 7.70) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(20%) 3W: 2.40 ( 1.55- 8.40) out, proj. out
(34%) 2W: 1.55 ( 0.75- 5.00) out, proj. out
(35%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 1.80) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 8%) WLLWWL: 3.60 ( 3.20- 5.40) out
(10%) WLLLWL: 2.40 ( 2.00- 3.85) out
( 6%) WLLWLL: 2.40 ( 2.00- 3.95) out
( 3%) LLLWWL: 2.30 ( 1.55- 3.50) out
(19%) WLLLLL: 1.60 ( 1.20- 3.15) out
( 5%) LLLWLL: 1.48 ( 0.75- 2.70) out
( 9%) LLLLWL: 1.15 ( 0.75- 3.10) out
(35%) LLLLLL: 0.70 ( 0.35- 1.80) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 62.3, #594, D7 #59), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 64.7, #590, D7 #58), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 57.3, #610, D7 #61), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 64.2, #589, D7 #56), 6% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 74.5, #540, D7 #45), 29% (bubble if 6-4), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 63.7