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Rankings
#70 of 105 in Division 5
#18 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #102 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #62 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #470 Worthington Christian (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 1 (48%)
08/28 A #549 Madison-Plains (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 9 (67%)
09/04 A #382 Mount Gilead (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 18 (16%)
09/11 H #645 Bishop Rosecrans (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 30 (96%)
09/18 H #631 Miller (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 28 (96%)
09/25 A #697 Millersport (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 44 (99%)
10/02 H #663 Berne Union (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/09 H #441 Grandview Heights (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/17 A #623 Fisher Catholic (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 A #638 Fairfield Christian (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 27 (96%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
68% (bubble if 6-4), 40% home (maybe if 8-2), 9% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.75 ( 0.45-26.95) 88% in, 63% home, 18% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 20%
Lose: 10.45 ( 0.00-22.80) 49% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 10W: 20.00 (14.25-26.95) 100% in, 99% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 54%
(16%) 9W: 17.60 (11.55-25.05) 99% in, 90% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 21%
(19%) 8W: 15.00 ( 9.40-21.40) 98% in, 60% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 8%
(18%) 7W: 12.65 ( 7.70-18.10) 85% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 10%
(14%) 6W: 10.45 ( 5.10-16.65) 52% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 10%
(10%) 5W: 8.15 ( 4.35-12.50) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 11%
( 7%) 4W: 5.95 ( 2.85- 9.90) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 4%) 3W: 4.00 ( 1.45- 7.90) out, proj. out
( 2%) 2W: 2.25 ( 0.75- 5.70) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.35- 3.65) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 8%
Portsmouth (0-0) 7%
Dawson-Bryant (0-0) 6%
Fairland (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Wheelersburg (0-0) 15%
Ironton (0-0) 14%
Fort Frye (0-0) 9%
Columbus Academy (0-0) 9%
Africentric Early Coll. (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 115.7, #241, D5 #24), 79% (bubble if 5-5), 63% home (maybe if 6-4), 39% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 83.2