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Rankings
#99 of 107 in Division 6
#24 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #39 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #103 in D6 (-928 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 31-6 H #431 Mount Gilead (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 26 (12%), perf. rating 51
08/29 L 42-21 A #649 Bucyrus (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 15 (77%), perf. rating 19
09/05 L 37-7 A #578 Catholic Cent. (Sprfd.) (3-1) D7 R28, pick: L by 24 (9%), perf. rating 23
09/12 L 34-0 H #456 Greenon (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 32
09/19 A #506 Cedarville (2-2) D7 R28, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/26 H #257 Mechanicsburg (3-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/03 H #295 West Jefferson (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 46 (1%)
10/10 A #417 West Liberty-Salem (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/17 H #554 Fairbanks (1-3) D6 R23, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/24 A #209 Northeastern (4-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.90 ( 1.10- 6.05) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 7.65) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 1W: 1.90 ( 0.80- 4.10) out, proj. out
(91%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLLW: 4.10 ( 2.90- 4.10) out
( 1%) LWLLLL: 2.95 ( 2.05- 3.75) out
( 1%) LLLWLL: 2.00 ( 1.15- 2.80) out
( 3%) LLLLWL: 1.15 ( 0.80- 2.00) out
(91%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 35.7, #674, D6 #99), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 38.5, #667, D6 #97), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 41.4, #661, D6 #95), 1% (must have at least 1-9 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 52.5, #627, D6 #88), 7% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 54.7, #627, D6 #90), 12% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 50.9