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Rankings
#9 of 80 in Division 1
#4 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #9 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #55 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #59 Olentangy (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 15 (75%)
08/28 H #54 Olentangy Berlin (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 17 (80%)
09/04 H #1 Avon (0-0) D2 R6, pick: L by 26 (7%)
09/11 H #124 New Albany (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 29 (96%)
09/18 A #171 Marysville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 31 (97%)
09/25 A #96 Hilliard Bradley (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/02 H #21 Olentangy Liberty (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/09 A #3 Olentangy Orange (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/16 H #143 Dublin Coffman (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/23 A #84 Hilliard Davidson (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 21 (92%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
23.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
89% (bubble if 3-7), 73% home (maybe if 5-5), 44% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.45 ( 1.30-48.25) 96% in, 84% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 57%
Lose: 14.55 ( 0.00-40.85) 68% in, 39% home, 12% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 10W: 39.55 (29.40-48.25) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(13%) 9W: 34.00 (25.00-42.50) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(20%) 8W: 28.65 (19.35-37.85) 100% in, 99% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 89%
(20%) 7W: 23.75 (14.60-32.90) 100% in, 98% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 41%
(15%) 6W: 19.70 (10.15-28.65) 99% in, 80% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 8%
(11%) 5W: 15.45 ( 7.65-23.25) 94% in, 37% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
( 8%) 4W: 12.10 ( 5.10-19.95) 70% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
( 5%) 3W: 8.40 ( 2.55-15.50) 31% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 13%
( 3%) 2W: 5.20 ( 1.25-11.60) 6% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 1%) 1W: 2.50 ( 0.60- 6.25) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 4%
Olentangy (0-0) 4%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 4%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 11%
Pickerington North (0-0) 11%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 10%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 166.3, #22, D1 #9), 89% (bubble if 3-7), 73% home (maybe if 5-5), 44% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 167.4