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Rankings
#1 of 80 in Division 1
#1 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #16 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #1 in D1 (+743 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 40-7 A #127 Olentangy (0-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 15 (75%), perf. rating 185
08/28 W 24-0 H #28 Olentangy Berlin (2-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 9 (67%), perf. rating 198
09/04 W 43-22 H #11 Avon (1-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 209
09/11 H #97 New Albany (2-1) D2 R7, pick: W by 38 (99%)
09/18 A #262 Marysville (2-1) D1 R2, pick: W by 47 (99%)
09/25 A #59 Hilliard Bradley (2-1) D1 R2, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/02 H #29 Olentangy Liberty (0-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/09 A #23 Olentangy Orange (2-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/16 H #215 Dublin Coffman (1-2) D1 R2, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/23 A #172 Hilliard Davidson (1-2) D1 R2, pick: W by 42 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
38.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, likely bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 37.55 (21.45-43.35) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#8), bye 99%
Lose: 32.85 (18.30-37.05) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 87%
Based on eventual number of wins
(76%) 10W: 38.15 (31.75-43.35) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(19%) 9W: 33.70 (27.80-39.55) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 4%) 8W: 29.75 (24.50-35.00) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 89%
( 1%) 7W: 25.90 (21.45-29.80) 100% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 41%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(76%) WWWWWWW: 38.15 (31.75-43.35) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 1%) WWWWWLW: 36.30 (31.75-39.55) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 1%) WLWWWWW: 35.65 (32.45-38.90) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 4%) WWWLWWW: 34.25 (29.05-38.80) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(10%) WWWWLWW: 33.60 (28.45-37.50) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 2%) WWLWWWW: 32.95 (27.80-37.50) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 2%) WWWLLWW: 30.35 (25.80-34.25) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 89%
( 1%) WWLWLWW: 28.40 (24.50-32.30) 100% home, 77% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#6), bye 77%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 190.5, #3, D1 #1), appears locked in and home, likely bye, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 180.3, #6, D1 #2), likely in and likely home, 89% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 175.8, #10, D1 #3), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 88% home (maybe if 5-5), 67% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 166.3, #22, D1 #9), 89% (bubble if 3-7), 73% home (maybe if 5-5), 44% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 7-3
Last season 167.4