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Rankings
#36 of 80 in Division 1
#8 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #26 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #27 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #18 Big Walnut (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 27 (11%)
08/28 H #187 Hilliard Darby (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 18 (82%)
09/04 H #112 Grove City (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 5 (61%)
09/11 H #171 Marysville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 16 (83%)
09/18 A #305 Thomas Worthington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 28 (96%)
09/25 H #22 Upper Arlington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 A #84 Hilliard Davidson (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/09 A #21 Olentangy Liberty (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/16 H #3 Olentangy Orange (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/23 A #143 Dublin Coffman (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 7 (68%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
12.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
62% (bubble if 4-6), 38% home (maybe if 5-5), 15% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.75 ( 1.90-43.50) 95% in, 82% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 53%
Lose: 10.80 ( 0.00-37.95) 58% in, 33% home, 11% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 35.45 (25.65-43.50) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 3%) 9W: 30.25 (22.45-39.20) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 7%) 8W: 25.10 (16.65-34.90) 100% in, 99% home, 86% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 86%
(11%) 7W: 20.60 (12.80-31.05) 100% in, 98% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 44%
(14%) 6W: 16.65 ( 9.65-27.45) 99% in, 79% home, 9% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(17%) 5W: 12.85 ( 6.45-22.20) 94% in, 33% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
(16%) 4W: 9.62 ( 4.50-19.75) 59% in, 5% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
(14%) 3W: 6.45 ( 2.60-16.00) 15% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
(10%) 2W: 3.90 ( 1.30-12.10) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 6%) 1W: 1.30 ( 0.65- 6.45) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 8%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 6%
Westland (0-0) 5%
Perrysburg (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 14%
Springfield (0-0) 11%
Perrysburg (0-0) 10%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 139.8, #96, D1 #36), 62% (bubble if 4-6), 38% home (maybe if 5-5), 15% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 5-5
Last season 143.5