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Rankings
#24 of 80 in Division 1
#7 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #31 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #47 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #3 Olentangy Orange (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 26 (12%)
08/28 A #22 Upper Arlington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 17 (20%)
09/04 A #65 Centerville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 2 (54%)
09/11 H #21 Olentangy Liberty (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 13 (22%)
09/18 A #229 Westerville Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 28 (96%)
09/25 A #187 Hilliard Darby (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/02 H #305 Thomas Worthington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/09 A #136 Dublin Jerome (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 17 (87%)
10/16 A #171 Marysville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 H #59 Olentangy (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 4 (60%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
17.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
74% (bubble if 4-6), 48% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.10 ( 1.95-43.10) 96% in, 86% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 62%
Lose: 15.30 ( 0.00-41.10) 71% in, 43% home, 13% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 35.45 (27.00-43.10) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 7%) 9W: 30.20 (19.90-42.40) 100% home, 94% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 94%
(13%) 8W: 25.65 (15.95-37.25) 100% in, 99% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 56%
(16%) 7W: 21.20 (12.75-32.85) 99% in, 89% home, 15% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 15%
(17%) 6W: 17.30 ( 9.70-26.95) 98% in, 54% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
(15%) 5W: 13.40 ( 6.50-23.20) 83% in, 14% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(12%) 4W: 9.65 ( 5.05-18.75) 42% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
( 9%) 3W: 6.50 ( 2.60-14.05) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Pickerington North (0-0) 15%
( 5%) 2W: 3.85 ( 1.30-11.45) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.80 ( 0.65- 6.50) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 7%
Olentangy (0-0) 6%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 6%
Westerville South (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 16%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 12%
Pickerington North (0-0) 11%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 151.3, #54, D1 #24), 74% (bubble if 4-6), 48% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 150.5