Region 3 home page
Region 3 projections
Region 3 playoff probabilities
Region 3 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 3 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#23 of 79 in Division 1
#7 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #24 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #11 in D1 (+289 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 21-6 H #48 Olentangy Orange (4-4) D1 R3, pick: L by 26 (12%), perf. rating 172
08/28 L 24-0 A #20 Upper Arlington (6-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 9 (33%), perf. rating 135
09/04 W 20-6 A #96 Centerville (2-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 24 (91%), perf. rating 162
09/11 L 27-17 H #28 Olentangy Liberty (5-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 3 (56%), perf. rating 146
09/18 W 24-14 A #116 Westerville Central (4-4) D1 R3, pick: W by 20 (89%), perf. rating 152
09/25 W 20-19 A #74 Hilliard Darby (4-4) D1 R2, pick: W by 2 (55%), perf. rating 147
10/02 W 31-7 H #329 Thomas Worthington (2-6) D1 R3, pick: W by 37 (99%), perf. rating 139
10/09 W 17-10 A #123 Dublin Jerome (2-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 15 (84%), perf. rating 147
10/16 A #298 Marysville (3-5) D1 R2, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/23 H #77 Olentangy (4-4) D1 R3, pick: W by 10 (74%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
25.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#6 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 4% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.05 (19.85-27.60) 100% home, 4% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#8), Westerville Central (4-4) 34%
Lose: 21.90 (18.00-25.10) 100% in, 96% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#10), Groveport Madison (5-3) 24%
Based on eventual number of wins
(72%) 8W: 25.65 (23.75-27.60) 100% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#7), Westerville Central (4-4) 44%
(27%) 7W: 21.80 (19.85-25.10) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Olentangy (4-4) 27%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(72%) WW: 25.65 (23.75-27.60) 100% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#7), Westerville Central (4-4) 44%
( 1%) LW: 22.55 (21.85-25.10) 100% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#7), Groveport Madison (5-3) 35%
(26%) WL: 21.75 (19.85-24.35) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Olentangy (4-4) 29%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 150.7, #54, D1 #22), likely in and likely home, 7% bye, proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 6 (4-2, 150.7, #56, D1 #23), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye, proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 5 (3-2, 150.7, #55, D1 #25), likely in, 83% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye, proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 4 (2-2, 155.1, #49, D1 #23), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 89% home (maybe if 6-4), 17% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 164.6, #28, D1 #15), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 62% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 162.3, #33, D1 #16), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 52% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 168.6, #19, D1 #10), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 89% home (maybe if 6-4), 54% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 151.3, #54, D1 #24), 73% (bubble if 4-6), 47% home (maybe if 6-4), 18% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 150.5