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Rankings
#68 of 103 in Division 7
#18 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #45 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #75 in D7 (-456 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 61-7 A #318 Woodmore (7-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 47 (2%), perf. rating 46
08/28 L 55-13 H #459 Loudonville (3-4) D7 R27, pick: L by 34 (4%), perf. rating 21
09/04 L 48-29 A #596 Waynedale (1-6) D5 R18, pick: L by 27 (7%), perf. rating 34
09/11 W 48-13 H #666 Crestview (Ashland) (1-6) D6 R22, pick: L by 21 (11%), perf. rating 85
09/18 L 35-6 H #409 Monroeville (3-4) D7 R25, pick: L by 32 (2%), perf. rating 48
09/26 L 49-0 A #535 St Paul (3-3) D7 R25, pick: L by 22 (8%), perf. rating 14
10/02 L 50-39 A #586 Southeastern Local (3-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 19 (11%), perf. rating 48
10/09 H #634 Mapleton (1-5) D7 R25, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/16 A #633 South Central (3-4) D7 R25, pick: L by 7 (32%)
10/23 H #291 W. Reserve (Collins) (7-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 43 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.94 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.94 ( 1.88- 7.48) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Lose: 0.76 ( 0.76- 6.72) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(20%) 3W: 3.42 ( 3.37- 6.72) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(39%) 2W: 1.94 ( 1.88- 5.18) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(41%) 1W: 0.76 ( 0.76- 1.53) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(19%) WWL: 3.42 ( 3.37- 4.50) out
(14%) LWL: 2.24 ( 2.24- 3.38) out
(24%) WLL: 1.94 ( 1.88- 2.71) out
(41%) LLL: 0.76 ( 0.76- 1.53) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 44.8, #641, D7 #68), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 6 (1-5, 44.7, #637, D7 #69), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 5 (1-4, 47.4, #638, D7 #70), 4% (bubble if 4-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 4 (1-3, 46.3, #640, D7 #72), 3% (bubble if 4-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 3 (0-3, 25.9, #679, D7 #87), 1% (must have at least 1-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-9
Week 2 (0-2, 27.3, #679, D7 #91), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-9
Week 1 (0-1, 28.6, #677, D7 #89), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 0 (0-0, 26.5, #683, D7 #93), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Last season 28.4