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Rankings
#86 of 105 in Division 7
#24 of 27 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #51 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #47 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #492 Lucas (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 33 (7%)
08/28 A #616 Willard (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 22 (13%)
09/04 A #622 Wellington (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 20 (13%)
09/11 H #467 St Paul (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 35 (2%)
09/18 A #666 Mapleton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/25 H #413 Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/02 H #684 New London (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 12 (78%)
10/09 H #372 Monroeville (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/16 A #335 W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/23 A #637 South Central (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 16 (15%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.07 ( 0.35-18.20) 19% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Edon (0-0) 13%
Lose: 1.15 ( 0.00-16.70) 3% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Edon (0-0) 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 9.55 ( 5.95-13.25) 90% in, 27% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Edon (0-0) 16%
( 2%) 6W: 7.70 ( 4.80-11.60) 56% in, 6% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Edon (0-0) 11%
( 5%) 5W: 5.70 ( 3.20-10.00) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Edon (0-0) 15%
(10%) 4W: 4.05 ( 2.15- 8.65) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(16%) 3W: 2.55 ( 1.20- 6.95) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(22%) 2W: 1.40 ( 0.70- 6.45) out, proj. out
(24%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 3.80) out, proj. out
(18%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Edon (0-0) 13%
Mohawk (0-0) 10%
North Baltimore (0-0) 10%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 7%
Edgerton (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) 20%
Leipsic (0-0) 17%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 12%
Gibsonburg (0-0) 12%
Mohawk (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 49.9, #641, D7 #75), 5% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 33.9