Region 25 home page
Region 25 projections
Region 25 playoff probabilities
Region 25 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 25 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#79 of 107 in Division 7
#17 of 26 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #45 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #94 in D7 (-632 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 46-12 H #568 Willard (2-2) D5 R18, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 16
08/29 L 34-7 A #579 Buckeye Central (3-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 18 (18%), perf. rating 28
09/05 L 14-12 H #524 Rittman (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 71
09/12 L 67-0 H #369 Monroeville (2-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 38 (1%), perf. rating 36
09/19 H #352 Crestview (Ashland) (2-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 40 (1%)
09/26 A #660 Mapleton (1-3) D6 R21, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/03 H #350 W. Reserve (Collins) (3-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/10 A #405 St Paul (2-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/17 A #678 New London (2-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/24 A #671 Plymouth (0-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 4 (60%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 4-6), no home game
Depending on the next game
Lose: 1.85 ( 0.00- 6.90) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out), Malvern (2-2) 22%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 4W: 5.70 ( 5.10- 6.90) 79% in, proj. #11 (#9-out)
(26%) 3W: 3.35 ( 3.25- 6.10) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(34%) 2W: 1.90 ( 1.45- 4.65) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(27%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.35- 3.50) out, proj. out
(12%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(25%) LWLLWW: 3.35 ( 3.30- 4.45) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Malvern (2-2) 26%
(11%) LWLLWL: 2.25 ( 2.25- 3.35) out
(16%) LLLLWW: 1.85 ( 1.80- 3.05) out
( 7%) LWLLLW: 1.50 ( 1.45- 2.65) out
(11%) LLLLWL: 1.10 ( 1.10- 1.90) out
( 5%) LWLLLL: 1.10 ( 0.75- 1.90) out
(10%) LLLLLW: 0.35 ( 0.35- 1.55) out
(12%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 42.9, #656, D7 #79), 2% (bubble if 4-6), no home game, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 43.7, #653, D7 #79), 2% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 31.8, #678, D7 #90), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 35.6, #675, D7 #86), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 53.0, #634, D7 #69), 22% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 51.4