Region 25 home page
Region 25 projections
Region 25 playoff probabilities
Region 25 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 25 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#65 of 103 in Division 7
#16 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #55 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D7 (-212 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 16-12 A #563 Willard (3-4) D5 R18, pick: L by 9 (34%), perf. rating 64
08/28 W 20-14 H #656 Buckeye Central (1-6) D7 R26, pick: L by 9 (33%), perf. rating 46
09/04 L 49-13 A #508 Rittman (3-4) D7 R25, pick: L by 26 (7%), perf. rating 27
09/11 L 62-8 A #409 Monroeville (3-4) D7 R25, pick: L by 26 (6%), perf. rating 33
09/18 W 15-7 A #666 Crestview (Ashland) (1-6) D6 R22, pick: W by 14 (81%), perf. rating 49
09/25 W 41-40 H #634 Mapleton (1-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 2 (55%), perf. rating 48
10/02 L 39-8 A #291 W. Reserve (Collins) (7-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 43 (1%), perf. rating 66
10/09 H #535 St Paul (3-3) D7 R25, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/16 H #641 New London (1-6) D7 R25, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/23 H #523 Black River (1-6) D6 R21, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
3.77 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
7% (bubble if 5-5), no home game
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.61 ( 4.44- 7.82) 74% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 24%
Lose: 3.77 ( 2.59- 6.13) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 27%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 6W: 6.94 ( 6.48- 7.82) 94% in, proj. #11 (#9-out)
(10%) 5W: 5.56 ( 4.63- 6.70) 55% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 26%
(58%) 4W: 3.77 ( 3.51- 6.09) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(31%) 3W: 2.65 ( 2.59- 3.88) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWW: 6.94 ( 6.48- 7.82) 94% in, proj. #11 (#9-out), East Canton (5-2) 24%
( 5%) WWL: 5.61 ( 5.56- 6.70) 83% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 25%
( 5%) LWW: 5.10 ( 4.63- 6.13) 26% in, proj. out (#11-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 28%
( 1%) WLL: 4.49 ( 4.44- 5.26) 18% in, proj. out (#11-out), Springfield (New Midd.) (4-3) 32%
( 1%) LLW: 4.03 ( 3.51- 6.09) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out), Mogadore (5-2) 40%
(56%) LWL: 3.77 ( 3.72- 5.01) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), St John School (5-2) 100%
(31%) LLL: 2.65 ( 2.59- 3.88) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 49.6, #633, D7 #65), 7% (bubble if 5-5), no home game, proj. out at 4-6
Week 6 (3-3, 49.3, #631, D7 #65), 7% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 48.2, #633, D7 #67), 7% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (1-3, 48.0, #636, D7 #68), 7% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 54.4, #617, D7 #63), 22% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 60.3, #605, D7 #58), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 51.2, #636, D7 #68), 12% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 50.3, #637, D7 #72), 13% (bubble if 5-5), 5% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 50.5