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Rankings
#19 of 104 in Division 7
#4 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #36 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #15 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #355 McComb (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 4 (43%)
08/28 A #286 Seneca East (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 12 (27%)
09/04 H #331 Danville (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 2 (46%)
09/11 H #637 South Central (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 37 (99%)
09/18 A #683 New London (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 46 (99%)
09/25 H #335 W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/02 A #666 Mapleton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/16 H #413 Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/23 H #467 St Paul (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 16 (85%)
Regular season projections
6-3 record
11.47 Harbin points (divisor 87)
#7 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
75% (bubble if 4-5), 55% home (maybe if 6-3), 28% bye (maybe if 7-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.13 ( 1.19-27.00) 93% in, 79% home, 50% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 54%
Lose: 8.15 ( 0.00-23.68) 61% in, 37% home, 12% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
(10%) 9W: 20.39 (14.93-27.00) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 98%
(14%) 8W: 17.42 (11.21-23.68) 100% in, 99% home, 82% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 82%
(15%) 7W: 14.39 ( 8.87-19.96) 100% in, 97% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 40%
(17%) 6W: 11.47 ( 6.47-16.64) 99% in, 75% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 8%
(16%) 5W: 8.61 ( 4.36-14.12) 89% in, 23% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Fairport Harding (0-0) 8%
(14%) 4W: 5.81 ( 2.76-10.98) 31% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
( 9%) 3W: 3.29 ( 1.57- 8.64) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 2W: 1.70 ( 1.18- 5.15) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.39 ( 0.39- 3.38) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Fairport Harding (0-0) 4%
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 4%
Malvern (0-0) 4%
East Canton (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Dalton (0-0) 12%
McDonald (0-0) 12%
Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) 11%
Mogadore (0-0) 10%
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 99.6, #372, D7 #19), 75% (bubble if 4-5), 55% home (maybe if 6-3), 28% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #7 at 6-3
Last season 98.2