Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#352 Crestview (Ashland) Cougars (2-2) 102.6

Updated Sat 13-Sep-2025 10:57 PM
Week 4 complete

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Rankings
#35 of 107 in Division 6
#8 of 27 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #57 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #40 in D6 (-48 WP+)

Lists this team is on
Best teams in playoff danger

Schedule and results
08/22 L 2-0 A #314 Seneca East (3-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 10 (32%), perf. rating 107
08/29 L 42-7 A #39 Kirtland (4-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 43 (2%), perf. rating 107
09/05 W 28-14 H #418 Keystone (2-2) D5 R18, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 112
09/12 W 42-0 H #678 New London (2-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 48 (99%), perf. rating 94
09/19 A #656 South Central (0-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 40 (99%)
09/26 H #671 Plymouth (0-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/03 H #405 St Paul (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/10 A #350 W. Reserve (Collins) (3-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 2 (44%)
10/17 H #369 Monroeville (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/24 A #660 Mapleton (1-3) D6 R21, pick: W by 41 (99%)

Regular season projections
7-3 record
13.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R23 playoffs

Playoff chances now
62% (likely needs 7-3), 25% home (likely needs 8-2), 2% bye

Depending on the next game
Win: 12.80 ( 5.55-17.25) 63% in, 25% home, 2% bye, proj. #11 (#2-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%

Based on eventual number of wins
(25%) 8W: 16.25 (14.65-17.25) 99% in, 88% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%
(36%) 7W: 13.15 (10.70-16.00) 89% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
(26%) 6W: 10.55 ( 8.20-13.35) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 15%
(12%) 5W: 8.10 ( 6.45-10.95) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)

Under certain win/loss scenarios
(25%) WWWWWW: 16.25 (14.65-17.25) 99% in, 88% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%
( 5%) WWLWWW: 13.65 (11.90-14.90) 95% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 13%
( 9%) WWWWLW: 13.57 (11.35-14.95) 93% in, 9% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
(21%) WWWLWW: 13.00 (10.70-14.40) 86% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
( 4%) WWLWLW: 11.10 ( 9.30-12.30) 29% in, proj. out (#9-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 16%
( 7%) WWLLWW: 10.55 ( 8.55-11.80) 19% in, proj. out (#10-out), Ridgewood (4-0) 18%
(15%) WWWLLW: 10.50 ( 8.20-11.85) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), West Jefferson (4-0) 16%
(11%) WWLLLW: 8.05 ( 6.45- 9.30) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 100%

Most likely first-round opponents
Grove City Christian (3-1) 13%
Ridgewood (4-0) 11%
Toronto (4-0) 10%
Northmor (2-2) 9%
West Jefferson (4-0) 8%

Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 102.6, #352, D6 #35), 62% (likely needs 7-3), 25% home (likely needs 8-2), 2% bye, proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 3 (1-2, 104.3, #346, D6 #33), 68% (bubble if 6-4), 29% home (likely needs 8-2), 3% bye, proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 2 (0-2, 96.3, #389, D6 #38), 38% (bubble if 7-3), 13% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 92.5, #421, D6 #42), 27% (bubble if 6-4), 9% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 90.0, #448, D6 #42), 43% (bubble if 6-4), 23% home (maybe if 7-3), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 90.0