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Rankings
#45 of 107 in Division 6
#17 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #90 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #33 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #615 Northwestern (W. Salem) (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 31 (92%)
08/28 H #655 Crestline (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 38 (97%)
09/04 A #581 Independence (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 24 (91%)
09/11 A #683 New London (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 44 (99%)
09/18 H #637 South Central (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/02 A #467 St Paul (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/09 H #335 W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/16 A #372 Monroeville (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/23 H #666 Mapleton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 39 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-2 record
10.59 Harbin points (divisor 87)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
59% (bubble if 7-2), 30% home (maybe if 8-1), 6% bye (maybe if 9-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.17 ( 0.83-22.52) 62% in, 32% home, 7% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 11%
Lose: 7.06 ( 0.00-18.91) 25% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Woodmore (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
(14%) 9W: 16.66 (12.40-22.52) 99% in, 96% home, 36% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 36%
(25%) 8W: 13.39 ( 8.11-20.58) 95% in, 53% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Woodmore (0-0) 8%
(26%) 7W: 10.59 ( 5.59-18.18) 64% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
(19%) 6W: 8.25 ( 4.40-14.28) 24% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Patrick Henry (0-0) 10%
(10%) 5W: 6.31 ( 3.21-11.89) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Columbus Grove (0-0) 9%
( 4%) 4W: 4.66 ( 2.01- 9.48) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 2%) 3W: 3.29 ( 1.57- 7.09) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 1.70 ( 0.83- 4.97) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 7%
Woodmore (0-0) 7%
Paulding (0-0) 7%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 17%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 14%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 10%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 93.4, #413, D6 #45), 59% (bubble if 7-2), 30% home (maybe if 8-1), 6% bye (maybe if 9-0), proj. out at 7-2
Last season 95.3