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Rankings
#30 of 104 in Division 7
#8 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #35 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #22 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #279 Port Clinton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 25 (13%)
08/28 H #426 Calvert (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 5 (40%)
09/04 H #526 Northwood (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 12 (75%)
09/11 A #406 Keystone (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 12 (24%)
09/18 A #335 W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 20 (11%)
09/26 H #683 New London (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/02 H #413 Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/09 A #637 South Central (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/16 H #666 Mapleton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/23 A #372 Monroeville (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 16 (15%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.74 Harbin points (divisor 96)
#12 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
53% (bubble if 5-5), 30% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.11 ( 1.16-25.83) 87% in, 67% home, 35% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 40%
Lose: 6.33 ( 0.00-23.35) 47% in, 24% home, 7% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 19.73 (14.63-25.83) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 95%
( 6%) 9W: 16.78 (11.47-23.35) 100% in, 99% home, 75% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 75%
( 9%) 8W: 14.04 ( 9.09-22.42) 99% in, 95% home, 32% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 32%
(12%) 7W: 11.45 ( 5.83-17.75) 99% in, 70% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 7%
(14%) 6W: 8.97 ( 3.91-14.80) 88% in, 28% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 8%
(17%) 5W: 6.74 ( 2.94-12.84) 52% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 9%
(17%) 4W: 4.73 ( 2.23-10.09) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Monroeville (0-0) 11%
(13%) 3W: 2.92 ( 1.41- 7.50) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 7%) 2W: 1.48 ( 0.70- 4.97) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 2%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 3.42) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Fairport Harding (0-0) 6%
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 6%
East Canton (0-0) 6%
W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
McDonald (0-0) 13%
Dalton (0-0) 13%
Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) 12%
Mogadore (0-0) 9%
Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 36.0, #671, D7 #86), 7% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 86.5