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Rankings
#26 of 80 in Division 1
#8 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #35 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #46 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #22 Upper Arlington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 15 (25%)
08/28 A #72 Perrysburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/04 H #3 Olentangy Orange (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 27 (7%)
09/11 H #469 Central Crossing (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 44 (99%)
09/18 A #21 Olentangy Liberty (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 20 (11%)
09/25 A #305 Thomas Worthington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 33 (98%)
10/02 H #171 Marysville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/09 A #187 Hilliard Darby (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/16 H #136 Dublin Jerome (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/23 A #54 Olentangy Berlin (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 4 (40%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
16.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
72% (bubble if 4-6), 44% home (maybe if 6-4), 17% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.65 ( 1.25-43.45) 95% in, 79% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 47%
Lose: 13.25 ( 0.00-37.05) 64% in, 32% home, 8% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 35.70 (26.20-43.45) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 6%) 9W: 30.10 (20.35-38.35) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 95%
(11%) 8W: 25.45 (15.25-33.65) 100% in, 99% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 54%
(16%) 7W: 21.00 (13.30-30.70) 99% in, 89% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 14%
(17%) 6W: 16.80 ( 9.65-25.45) 98% in, 47% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(17%) 5W: 12.80 ( 5.80-21.55) 78% in, 10% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
(14%) 4W: 9.00 ( 4.40-18.15) 34% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
( 9%) 3W: 5.80 ( 1.95-13.45) 7% in, proj. out (#9-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
( 5%) 2W: 3.20 ( 1.30- 9.45) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 2%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.65- 5.80) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 7%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 6%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 6%
Newark (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 16%
Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 11%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 149.3, #59, D1 #26), 72% (bubble if 4-6), 44% home (maybe if 6-4), 17% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Last season 150.7