Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#338 Thomas Worthington Cardinals (1-1) 103.2

Updated Fri 04-Sep-2026 09:12 AM
Week 3 in progress

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Rankings
#73 of 80 in Division 1
#20 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #60 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #53 in D1 (-160 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/21 W 30-28 H #358 Dublin Scioto (1-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 8 (36%), perf. rating 102
08/28 L 52-20 A #71 Worthington Kilbourne (2-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 30 (7%), perf. rating 100
09/04 H #139 Delaware Hayes (2-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 25 (8%)
09/11 A #89 Grove City (2-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 32 (3%)
09/18 H #114 Hilliard Bradley (1-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 27 (5%)
09/25 H #150 Olentangy (0-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 A #33 Olentangy Berlin (1-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/09 A #278 Marysville (1-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/16 H #181 Hilliard Darby (1-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/23 A #243 Dublin Jerome (0-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 15 (16%)

Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.49 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs

Playoff chances now
4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely

Depending on the next game
Win: 2.96 ( 1.54- 7.06) 24% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out)
Lose: 1.36 ( 0.71- 6.08) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)

Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 5W: 4.03 ( 3.70- 4.57) 56% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out)
( 7%) 4W: 3.16 ( 2.86- 3.74) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(15%) 3W: 2.32 ( 2.08- 2.84) out, proj. out
(30%) 2W: 1.49 ( 1.36- 2.01) out, proj. out
(43%) 1W: 0.71 ( 0.71- 1.10) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) LLLLLWWL: 2.33 ( 2.19- 2.71) out
( 3%) LLLLLWLW: 2.19 ( 2.13- 2.58) out
( 2%) LLLWLLLL: 1.55 ( 1.36- 1.88) out
( 5%) LLLLLLWL: 1.55 ( 1.43- 1.88) out
(11%) LLLLLWLL: 1.48 ( 1.42- 1.86) out
( 8%) LLLLLLLW: 1.43 ( 1.36- 2.00) out
(43%) LLLLLLLL: 0.71 ( 0.71- 1.10) out

Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 103.2, #339, D1 #73), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (1-0, 109.8, #287, D1 #69), 12% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 106.0, #305, D1 #72), 15% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 113.7