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Rankings
#44 of 80 in Division 1
#10 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #67 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #24 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #132 Westerville South (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 1 (52%)
08/28 H #239 Reynoldsburg (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 19 (83%)
09/04 A #143 Dublin Coffman (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 H #229 Westerville Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 19 (87%)
09/18 A #124 New Albany (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 4 (40%)
09/25 A #171 Marysville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 5 (62%)
10/02 H #187 Hilliard Darby (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/09 H #54 Olentangy Berlin (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/16 A #59 Olentangy (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/23 H #305 Thomas Worthington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 26 (96%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
13.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
66% (bubble if 4-6), 43% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.40 ( 0.65-38.80) 87% in, 64% home, 32% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 36%
Lose: 7.80 ( 0.00-34.40) 45% in, 21% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 10W: 28.10 (18.60-38.80) 100% in, 99% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 95%
(10%) 9W: 24.20 (14.05-36.65) 100% in, 99% home, 74% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 74%
(12%) 8W: 20.45 (11.40-30.90) 100% in, 96% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 41%
(13%) 7W: 17.00 ( 8.15-26.50) 99% in, 75% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 12%
(13%) 6W: 13.95 ( 5.75-24.15) 94% in, 43% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(12%) 5W: 10.90 ( 3.90-19.80) 75% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(11%) 4W: 8.35 ( 2.60-16.25) 40% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Westland (0-0) 10%
( 9%) 3W: 5.80 ( 1.90-14.55) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Perrysburg (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 2W: 3.75 ( 1.25- 9.65) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 5%) 1W: 1.80 ( 0.60- 6.20) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 8%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 5%
Westland (0-0) 5%
Hilliard Bradley (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 11%
Springfield (0-0) 10%
Perrysburg (0-0) 10%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 132.7, #136, D1 #44), 66% (bubble if 4-6), 43% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Last season 135.2