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Rankings
#69 of 79 in Division 1
#17 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #43 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D1 (-274 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 31-9 A #132 Westerville North (4-4) D1 R3, pick: L by 4 (43%), perf. rating 102
08/28 W 35-21 A #423 KIPP Columbus (2-6) D3 R11, pick: W by 25 (90%), perf. rating 114
09/04 W 15-10 H #266 Lancaster (2-6) D1 R3, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 120
09/11 L 41-7 A #60 Hilliard Bradley (5-3) D1 R2, pick: L by 32 (3%), perf. rating 100
09/18 L 28-0 H #20 Upper Arlington (6-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 125
09/25 L 45-12 H #123 Dublin Jerome (2-6) D1 R2, pick: L by 9 (28%), perf. rating 83
10/02 L 31-8 A #77 Olentangy (4-4) D1 R3, pick: L by 27 (4%), perf. rating 110
10/09 W 20-14 H #329 Thomas Worthington (2-6) D1 R3, pick: W by 6 (65%), perf. rating 112
10/16 H #56 Olentangy Berlin (6-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/23 A #74 Hilliard Darby (4-4) D1 R2, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
6.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (likely needs 4-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.00 ( 9.95-15.75) 93% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Hilliard Darby (4-4) 33%
Lose: 6.05 ( 5.40-11.10) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out), Wayne (4-4) 32%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 10.50 ( 9.25-12.30) 81% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Grove City (4-4) 27%
(96%) 3W: 6.05 ( 5.40- 7.85) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WL: 10.60 ( 9.95-12.30) 93% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), Hilliard Darby (4-4) 34%
( 2%) LW: 9.90 ( 9.25-11.10) 68% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Grove City (4-4) 30%
(96%) LL: 6.05 ( 5.40- 7.85) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Wayne (4-4) 59%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 109.0, #302, D1 #68), 3% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (2-4, 110.6, #290, D1 #67), 7% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (2-3, 117.7, #234, D1 #62), 30% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (2-2, 116.6, #245, D1 #66), 38% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 114.3, #262, D1 #67), 26% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 112.4, #278, D1 #68), 26% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 116.0, #241, D1 #63), 27% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 125.6, #171, D1 #52), 53% (bubble if 4-6), 29% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 129.2