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Rankings
#52 of 80 in Division 1
#15 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #58 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #31 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #165 Westerville North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 4 (43%)
08/28 A #402 KIPP Columbus (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 25 (90%)
09/04 H #244 Lancaster (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 12 (75%)
09/11 A #96 Hilliard Bradley (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 16 (17%)
09/18 H #22 Upper Arlington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 31 (3%)
09/25 H #136 Dublin Jerome (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 5 (38%)
10/02 A #59 Olentangy (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/09 H #305 Thomas Worthington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/16 H #54 Olentangy Berlin (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/23 A #187 Hilliard Darby (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 1 (53%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
54% (bubble if 4-6), 29% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.30 ( 0.65-41.15) 76% in, 47% home, 19% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 25%
Lose: 6.90 ( 0.00-34.65) 37% in, 14% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 30.12 (23.55-41.15) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 4%) 9W: 26.00 (15.90-36.40) 100% in, 99% home, 88% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 88%
( 7%) 8W: 21.80 (13.40-30.35) 100% in, 98% home, 49% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 49%
(10%) 7W: 18.10 (10.20-27.05) 99% in, 83% home, 19% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 19%
(13%) 6W: 14.60 ( 7.55-23.15) 96% in, 49% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
(15%) 5W: 11.45 ( 4.45-22.15) 78% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(15%) 4W: 8.65 ( 3.10-19.95) 42% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Perrysburg (0-0) 10%
(15%) 3W: 6.00 ( 1.85-13.50) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
(11%) 2W: 3.80 ( 1.20- 9.75) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 7%) 1W: 1.75 ( 0.55- 6.45) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 6%
Perrysburg (0-0) 6%
Westland (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 13%
Springfield (0-0) 11%
Perrysburg (0-0) 10%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 125.6, #171, D1 #52), 54% (bubble if 4-6), 29% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 129.2