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Rankings
#68 of 79 in Division 1
#17 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #45 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #60 in D1 (-334 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 31-9 A #135 Westerville North (4-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 4 (43%), perf. rating 102
08/28 W 35-21 A #432 KIPP Columbus (2-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 25 (90%), perf. rating 112
09/04 W 15-10 H #271 Lancaster (2-5) D1 R3, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 118
09/11 L 41-7 A #55 Hilliard Bradley (5-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 32 (3%), perf. rating 102
09/18 L 28-0 H #17 Upper Arlington (5-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 127
09/25 L 45-12 H #131 Dublin Jerome (2-5) D1 R2, pick: L by 9 (28%), perf. rating 82
10/02 L 31-8 A #98 Olentangy (3-4) D1 R3, pick: L by 27 (4%), perf. rating 107
10/09 H #326 Thomas Worthington (2-5) D1 R3, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/16 H #54 Olentangy Berlin (5-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/23 A #68 Hilliard Darby (4-3) D1 R2, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
6.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
3% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.05 ( 5.40-15.75) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Wayne (3-4) 25%
Lose: 4.10 ( 3.45- 9.95) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 4W: 10.50 ( 9.25-12.45) 67% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Wayne (3-4) 25%
(64%) 3W: 6.05 ( 5.40- 9.95) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(33%) 2W: 4.10 ( 3.45- 5.90) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWL: 10.60 ( 9.30-12.45) 68% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Hilliard Darby (4-3) 36%
( 2%) WLW: 9.90 ( 9.25-12.35) 66% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Wayne (3-4) 26%
(63%) WLL: 6.05 ( 5.40- 9.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Wayne (3-4) 32%
(33%) LLL: 4.10 ( 3.45- 5.90) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 109.0, #302, D1 #68), 3% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (2-4, 110.6, #290, D1 #67), 7% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (2-3, 117.7, #234, D1 #62), 30% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (2-2, 116.6, #245, D1 #66), 38% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 114.3, #262, D1 #67), 26% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 112.4, #278, D1 #68), 26% (bubble if 4-6), 6% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 116.0, #241, D1 #63), 27% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 125.6, #171, D1 #52), 53% (bubble if 4-6), 29% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 129.2