Region 2 home page
Region 2 projections
Region 2 playoff probabilities
Region 2 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 2 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#47 of 72 in Division 1
#15 of 18 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #55 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #43 in D1 (-200 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 21-20 H #269 Lancaster (1-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 110
08/29 W 21-7 H #114 Hilliard Bradley (3-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 22 (13%), perf. rating 158
09/05 W 33-20 H #225 Euclid (2-2) D2 R5, pick: W by 19 (86%), perf. rating 136
09/12 L 35-14 A #53 Hilliard Davidson (3-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 22 (10%), perf. rating 121
09/19 A #198 Grove City (2-2) D1 R3, pick: W by 4 (60%)
09/26 A #72 Olentangy Berlin (0-4) D1 R3, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/03 H #106 Dublin Jerome (3-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/10 A #41 Olentangy (3-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/17 H #264 Thomas Worthington (1-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 17 (87%)
10/24 A #230 Marysville (2-2) D1 R2, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
13.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
79% (bubble if 3-7), 32% home (maybe if 5-5), 8% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.60 ( 7.00-29.50) 94% in, 47% home, 12% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 13%
Lose: 10.10 ( 4.50-25.00) 57% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), Springboro (2-2) 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 25.60 (22.45-29.50) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 6%) 7W: 21.10 (17.25-26.90) 100% home, 64% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 64%
(18%) 6W: 17.20 (12.75-23.05) 100% in, 89% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 13%
(28%) 5W: 13.95 (10.20-19.25) 99% in, 30% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Hilliard Davidson (3-1) 12%
(26%) 4W: 10.85 ( 7.75-16.55) 77% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Dublin Jerome (3-1) 12%
(16%) 3W: 8.35 ( 5.80-14.15) 34% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Wayne (2-2) 15%
( 5%) 2W: 7.00 ( 4.50-10.25) 11% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWWWWW: 25.60 (22.45-29.50) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 4%) WWWLWW: 20.40 (17.25-24.90) 100% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 53%
(12%) WLWLWW: 17.25 (14.60-22.30) 100% in, 96% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 14%
(17%) WLLLWW: 13.35 (10.75-17.85) 98% in, 16% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Dublin Jerome (3-1) 13%
( 7%) WLLLWL: 10.90 ( 8.35-16.05) 73% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Dublin Jerome (3-1) 12%
(12%) LLLLWW: 10.75 ( 8.25-14.65) 74% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Dublin Jerome (3-1) 13%
( 9%) LLLLWL: 8.30 ( 5.80-12.20) 27% in, proj. out (#9-out), Wayne (2-2) 17%
( 5%) LLLLLL: 7.00 ( 4.50-10.25) 11% in, proj. out (#10-out), Springboro (2-2) 22%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 129.3, #162, D1 #47), 79% (bubble if 3-7), 32% home (maybe if 5-5), 8% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 130.7, #151, D1 #45), 57% (bubble if 4-6), 20% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 2 (1-1, 128.8, #163, D1 #47), 52% (bubble if 4-6), 20% home (maybe if 5-5), 5% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 118.3, #226, D1 #56), 24% (bubble if 4-6), 7% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 119.0, #217, D1 #61), 39% (bubble if 4-6), 17% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 113.5