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Rankings
#56 of 80 in Division 1
#17 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #51 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #28 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #244 Lancaster (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 6 (61%)
08/28 A #96 Hilliard Bradley (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 18 (18%)
09/04 H #157 Walnut Ridge (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 3 (43%)
09/11 H #84 Hilliard Davidson (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 17 (16%)
09/18 H #47 Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 25 (6%)
09/25 H #54 Olentangy Berlin (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/02 A #136 Dublin Jerome (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 11 (24%)
10/09 H #59 Olentangy (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/16 A #305 Thomas Worthington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 15 (84%)
10/23 H #171 Marysville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 1 (47%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
7.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
47% (bubble if 4-6), 28% home (maybe if 5-5), 12% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.20 ( 0.65-41.80) 63% in, 40% home, 18% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 29%
Lose: 3.90 ( 0.00-35.45) 22% in, 9% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 32.45 (25.20-41.80) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 4%) 9W: 28.65 (19.35-39.00) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 95%
( 5%) 8W: 24.35 (16.25-33.45) 100% in, 99% home, 71% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 71%
( 7%) 7W: 20.55 (13.75-28.85) 100% in, 97% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 37%
( 8%) 6W: 17.15 ( 9.10-26.20) 99% in, 76% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 10%
(11%) 5W: 13.45 ( 6.50-22.40) 93% in, 33% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
(13%) 4W: 10.25 ( 4.45-18.45) 64% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
(15%) 3W: 7.15 ( 2.60-14.15) 22% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(15%) 2W: 4.40 ( 1.30-11.50) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 13%
(13%) 1W: 1.85 ( 0.60- 6.40) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 8%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 7%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 5%
Westland (0-0) 5%
Perrysburg (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 12%
Perrysburg (0-0) 10%
Springfield (0-0) 10%
Wayne (0-0) 9%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 123.5, #187, D1 #56), 47% (bubble if 4-6), 28% home (maybe if 5-5), 12% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 127.5