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Rankings
#31 of 79 in Division 1
#7 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #62 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #46 in D1 (-95 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 20-15 A #266 Lancaster (2-6) D1 R3, pick: W by 6 (61%), perf. rating 124
08/28 L 25-19 A #60 Hilliard Bradley (5-3) D1 R2, pick: L by 16 (21%), perf. rating 142
09/04 W 34-0 H #373 Walnut Ridge (2-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 12 (75%), perf. rating 147
09/11 W 41-7 H #193 Hilliard Davidson (2-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 12 (76%), perf. rating 173
09/18 L 10-7 H #17 Gahanna Lincoln (8-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 27 (5%), perf. rating 164
09/25 L 20-19 H #56 Olentangy Berlin (6-2) D1 R3, pick: L by 2 (45%), perf. rating 147
10/02 W 25-20 A #123 Dublin Jerome (2-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 11 (76%), perf. rating 144
10/09 L 31-28 H #77 Olentangy (4-4) D1 R3, pick: W by 7 (68%), perf. rating 136
10/16 A #329 Thomas Worthington (2-6) D1 R3, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/23 H #298 Marysville (3-5) D1 R2, pick: W by 30 (98%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
14.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#8 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 86% home (maybe if 5-5)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.20 (10.45-16.10) 100% in, 87% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Miamisburg (4-4) 30%
Lose: 12.25 ( 9.10-13.55) 99% in, 38% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Miamisburg (4-4) 28%
Based on eventual number of wins
(96%) 6W: 14.20 (12.50-16.10) 100% in, 88% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Miamisburg (4-4) 30%
( 4%) 5W: 11.75 (10.45-13.55) 100% in, 32% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Miamisburg (4-4) 34%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(96%) WW: 14.20 (12.50-16.10) 100% in, 88% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Miamisburg (4-4) 30%
( 2%) LW: 12.25 (10.50-13.55) 100% in, 39% home, proj. #9 (#6-#12), Miamisburg (4-4) 29%
( 2%) WL: 11.70 (10.45-12.50) 100% in, 26% home, proj. #9 (#7-#12), Miamisburg (4-4) 40%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 144.9, #68, D1 #30), likely in, 92% home (maybe if 5-5), 9% bye, proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 6 (3-3, 145.8, #71, D1 #31), likely in, 78% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye, proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 147.1, #71, D1 #32), likely in, 86% home (maybe if 6-4), 19% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 142.8, #81, D1 #33), likely in, 84% home (maybe if 6-4), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 136.1, #112, D1 #37), 95% (bubble if 3-7), 67% home (maybe if 5-5), 16% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #7 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 125.7, #180, D1 #53), 76% (bubble if 3-7), 39% home (maybe if 5-5), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 123.9, #187, D1 #55), 59% (bubble if 4-6), 31% home (maybe if 5-5), 9% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 123.5, #187, D1 #56), 47% (bubble if 4-6), 27% home (maybe if 5-5), 12% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 127.5