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Rankings
#41 of 107 in Division 6
#15 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #27 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #50 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #15 Liberty Center (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 49 (1%)
08/28 H #367 Otsego (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 2 (46%)
09/04 A #169 Archbold (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 28 (6%)
09/11 H #455 Edgerton (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 11 (74%)
09/18 A #614 Hicksville (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/25 H #248 Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/02 H #571 Antwerp (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/09 A #473 Wayne Trace (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/16 H #545 Ayersville (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/23 A #308 Paulding (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 12 (21%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
38% (bubble if 6-4), 20% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.00 ( 3.60-27.30) 87% in, 72% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 50%
Lose: 8.15 ( 0.00-23.10) 38% in, 19% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 9W: 18.85 (14.35-23.50) 100% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 72%
( 8%) 8W: 16.10 (11.45-19.80) 99% in, 94% home, 27% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 27%
(14%) 7W: 13.25 ( 9.05-17.75) 96% in, 51% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
(17%) 6W: 10.55 ( 5.75-15.80) 63% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
(18%) 5W: 8.00 ( 4.70-13.40) 16% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 10%
(15%) 4W: 5.70 ( 3.00-10.65) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(12%) 3W: 3.85 ( 1.55- 8.25) out, proj. out
( 8%) 2W: 2.15 ( 1.05- 6.05) out, proj. out
( 4%) 1W: 0.70 ( 0.35- 4.45) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 7%
Woodmore (0-0) 6%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 6%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 20%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 14%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 8%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Delta (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 96.1, #400, D6 #41), 38% (bubble if 6-4), 20% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 94.3