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Rankings
#40 of 108 in Division 6
#13 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #25 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #48 in D6 (-91 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 61-0 A #36 Liberty Center (7-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 98
08/28 L 21-14 H #214 Otsego (4-3) D4 R14, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 108
09/04 L 38-7 A #46 Archbold (7-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 110
09/11 W 52-0 H #643 Edgerton (0-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 36 (98%), perf. rating 104
09/18 W 48-7 A #661 Hicksville (0-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 101
09/25 L 28-26 H #305 Fairview (Sherwood) (5-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 3 (42%), perf. rating 104
10/02 W 34-14 H #526 Antwerp (3-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 28 (96%), perf. rating 104
10/09 A #353 Wayne Trace (5-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/16 H #524 Ayersville (2-5) D7 R26, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 A #252 Paulding (6-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 14 (18%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.75 ( 5.00-10.85) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 4.20 ( 2.45- 8.30) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(12%) 6W: 10.05 (10.05-10.85) 8% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(40%) 5W: 6.75 ( 6.75- 9.05) out, proj. out
(45%) 4W: 4.20 ( 4.20- 6.45) out, proj. out
( 3%) 3W: 2.45 ( 2.45- 3.55) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(12%) WWW: 10.05 (10.05-10.85) 8% in, proj. out (#10-out), Columbus Grove (6-1) 30%
( 7%) LWW: 7.50 ( 7.50- 8.30) out
(34%) WWL: 6.75 ( 6.75- 7.55) out
( 1%) WLL: 5.00 ( 5.00- 5.80) out
(43%) LWL: 4.20 ( 4.20- 5.00) out
( 3%) LLL: 2.45 ( 2.45- 3.55) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 103.2, #347, D6 #40), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (2-4, 106.8, #314, D6 #34), 7% (bubble if 6-4), no home game, proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (2-3, 108.3, #302, D6 #31), 21% (likely needs 7-3), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (1-3, 104.6, #331, D6 #33), 20% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (0-3, 98.8, #374, D6 #40), 14% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (0-2, 96.3, #386, D6 #42), 10% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 99.3, #372, D6 #35), 33% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 96.1, #400, D6 #41), 39% (bubble if 6-4), 20% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 94.3