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Rankings
#101 of 104 in Division 3
#25 of 26 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #95 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #97 in D3 (-847 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 42-8 H #510 John Adams (1-1) D3 R9, pick: L by 26 (12%), perf. rating 26
08/28 L 49-16 A #247 Oak Harbor (2-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 49 (1%), perf. rating 69
09/04 L 41-0 H #394 Wickliffe (3-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 32 (4%), perf. rating 33
09/11 A #575 Bowsher (0-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 23 (9%)
09/17 A #566 Scott (0-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 25 (6%)
09/25 H #204 Lima Senior (2-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/01 A #491 Waite (1-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/08 H #592 Rogers (0-3) D2 R6, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/16 A #277 Martins Ferry (3-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 46 (1%)
10/22 A #436 Start (1-2) D2 R6, pick: L by 36 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.16 ( 0.60-14.11) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-13.01) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 3W: 4.60 ( 3.52-10.13) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 7%) 2W: 2.72 ( 1.71- 8.52) out, proj. out
(24%) 1W: 1.05 ( 0.55- 5.25) out, proj. out
(66%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLLWLL: 3.92 ( 3.52- 6.14) out
( 2%) LWLLWLL: 2.67 ( 1.76- 4.53) out
( 2%) WLLLWLL: 2.16 ( 1.81- 4.48) out
( 2%) LLLWLLL: 1.71 ( 1.11- 3.83) out
( 4%) LWLLLLL: 1.16 ( 0.55- 3.58) out
(12%) LLLLWLL: 0.95 ( 0.60- 3.33) out
( 4%) WLLLLLL: 0.60 ( 0.60- 3.43) out
(66%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 43.6, #645, D3 #101), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 48.7, #635, D3 #101), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 1 (0-1, 40.3, #658, D3 #102), 1% (must have at least 1-9 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 0 (0-0, 45.3, #652, D3 #102), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 48.5