Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#90 of 101 in Division 4
#23 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #98 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #93 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #424 Madeira (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 21 (17%)
08/27 H #466 Deer Park (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 15 (23%)
09/04 H #444 St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 18 (16%)
09/11 A #639 Clermont Northeastern (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 17 (84%)
09/18 H #366 Washington (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 26 (5%)
09/24 H #700 Dayton Jefferson Township (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/02 A #617 Clark Montessori (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/10 A #388 Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/16 H #422 Purcell Marian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/24 A #673 Gamble Montessori (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.70 Harbin points (divisor 94)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
25% (bubble if 6-4), 10% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.92 ( 0.45-29.62) 59% in, 32% home, 9% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 16%
Lose: 6.32 ( 0.00-28.37) 19% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 23.42 (15.63-29.62) 100% in, 97% home, 67% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 67%
( 3%) 9W: 20.23 (13.42-28.37) 99% in, 91% home, 29% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 29%
( 5%) 8W: 17.44 (10.36-25.20) 97% in, 66% home, 8% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 8%
( 8%) 7W: 14.54 ( 7.25-21.51) 85% in, 30% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 7%
(12%) 6W: 11.70 ( 6.22-18.61) 55% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
(16%) 5W: 9.17 ( 3.53-14.76) 20% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 11%
(20%) 4W: 6.70 ( 2.45-12.24) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 14%
(19%) 3W: 4.44 ( 1.30- 9.49) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(12%) 2W: 2.56 ( 0.75- 8.08) out, proj. out
( 5%) 1W: 0.72 ( 0.35- 4.18) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 7%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 7%
Meadowdale (0-0) 6%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 17%
Taft (0-0) 14%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 11%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 10%
Wyoming (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 73.8, #536, D4 #83), 6% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 64.0