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Rankings
#100 of 102 in Division 4
#25 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #101 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #98 in D4 (-784 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 47-8 H #389 Madeira (4-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 36
08/27 L 50-8 H #257 Deer Park (8-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 24 (11%), perf. rating 51
09/04 L 54-0 H #449 St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 29 (5%), perf. rating 23
09/11 L 49-16 A #567 Clermont Northeastern (3-5) D5 R20, pick: W by 9 (70%), perf. rating 21
09/24 W 14-0 H #694 Dayton Stivers (0-5) D5 R20, pick: W by 30 (97%), perf. rating 27
10/02 L 19-6 A #586 Clark Montessori (3-5) D4 R16, pick: L by 24 (6%), perf. rating 45
10/09 L 20-18 A #633 Woodward (Cincy) (2-6) D4 R16, pick: L by 16 (15%), perf. rating 48
10/16 H #489 Purcell Marian (4-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/24 A #579 Gamble Montessori (6-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 24 (6%)
Regular season projections
1-8 record
0.90 Harbin points (divisor 87)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.47 ( 3.07- 7.71) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.90 ( 0.50- 5.02) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 2W: 4.56 ( 3.07- 5.02) out, proj. out
(92%) 1W: 0.90 ( 0.50- 1.36) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 6%) LW: 4.56 ( 4.16- 5.02) out
( 2%) WL: 3.47 ( 3.07- 4.05) out
(92%) LL: 0.90 ( 0.50- 1.36) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-5, 38.6, #658, D4 #100), 1% (must have at least 3-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 6 (1-4, 37.1, #661, D4 #100), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 5 (0-4, 38.9, #654, D4 #99), 1% (must have at least 3-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 4 (0-4, 35.5, #659, D4 #99), 1% (must have at least 2-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-8
Week 3 (0-3, 49.0, #637, D4 #96), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 53.5, #624, D4 #97), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 59.5, #612, D4 #95), 10% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 68.7, #565, D4 #90), 26% (bubble if 6-4), 10% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 64.0