Region 24 home page
Region 24 projections
Region 24 playoff probabilities
Region 24 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 24 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#39 of 107 in Division 6
#6 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #52 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #27 in D6 (+48 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 41-32 A #563 Belmont (2-2) D2 R8, pick: W by 14 (74%), perf. rating 85
08/29 W 40-20 H #558 Shroder (1-3) D4 R16, pick: W by 10 (69%), perf. rating 98
09/05 W 42-6 A #655 Norwood (0-4) D5 R20, pick: W by 34 (97%), perf. rating 99
09/12 W 26-6 H #445 Reading (0-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 4 (41%), perf. rating 114
09/19 H #633 Finneytown (1-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 34 (98%)
09/26 A #441 Madeira (2-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 7 (67%)
10/03 H #435 Mariemont (2-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/10 A #357 Taylor (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/17 H #80 Indian Hill (4-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/24 A #221 Wyoming (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
13.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 91% home (maybe if 5-5), 45% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.30 ( 6.65-27.10) 99% in, 92% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 46%
Lose: 10.28 ( 5.95-19.50) 98% in, 71% home, 16% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 9W: 20.65 (18.45-23.95) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(22%) 8W: 16.30 (13.70-21.15) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
(35%) 7W: 13.55 (11.10-20.10) 100% in, 99% home, 50% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 50%
(25%) 6W: 11.10 ( 8.50-16.85) 100% in, 91% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#1-#11), Perry (Lima) (2-2) 14%
(12%) 5W: 9.15 ( 6.65-12.15) 99% in, 51% home, proj. #8 (#5-out), Anna (3-1) 20%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WWWWLW: 20.60 (18.45-23.00) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(18%) WWWWLL: 16.20 (13.70-19.55) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 97%
( 5%) WLWWLL: 13.95 (11.10-16.70) 100% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 62%
( 3%) WWLWLL: 13.75 (11.50-15.95) 100% in, 99% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#9), bye 54%
(25%) WWWLLL: 13.30 (11.20-16.10) 100% in, 99% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 44%
(12%) WLWLLL: 11.35 ( 8.65-14.25) 100% in, 93% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Perry (Lima) (2-2) 17%
(11%) WWLLLL: 10.90 ( 8.50-14.25) 100% in, 88% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#11), Anna (3-1) 14%
(12%) WLLLLL: 9.10 ( 6.65-12.15) 99% in, 49% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Anna (3-1) 20%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 96.2, #394, D6 #39), likely in, 91% home (maybe if 5-5), 45% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 87.8, #440, D6 #46), likely in, 77% home (maybe if 4-6), 21% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 84.0, #474, D6 #54), 91% (bubble if 3-7), 53% home (maybe if 5-5), 12% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 80.5, #508, D6 #61), 77% (bubble if 3-7), 47% home (maybe if 5-5), 17% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 80.8, #513, D6 #61), 56% (bubble if 4-6), 32% home (maybe if 5-5), 11% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #11 at 4-6
Last season 82.6