Region 24 home page
Region 24 projections
Region 24 playoff probabilities
Region 24 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 24 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#35 of 107 in Division 6
#8 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #99 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #27 in D6 (+57 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 30-0 H #573 Cedarville (1-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 20 (82%), perf. rating 109
08/29 W 38-12 H #558 Eastmoor Academy (0-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 26 (90%), perf. rating 107
09/04 W 42-26 A #472 Dunbar (1-1) D4 R16, pick: W by 19 (86%), perf. rating 109
09/10 A #559 Cincinnati Country Day (1-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 28 (95%)
09/18 H #493 Meadowdale (1-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 24 (93%)
09/25 H #486 KIPP Columbus (0-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/02 H #452 Dayton Christian (2-1) D5 R20, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/10 H #637 Shroder (0-3) D4 R16, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/15 A #620 Gamble Montessori (3-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/23 A Wheeling Cent. Cath. WV (1-1) D6
Regular season projections
9-1 record
20.12 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#2 seed in R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in and likely home, 86% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.13 ( 7.40-28.53) 99% in, 99% home, 88% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 88%
Lose: 17.16 ( 6.59-25.07) 99% in, 89% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 44%
Based on eventual number of wins
(49%) 10W: 22.25 (16.54-28.53) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(36%) 9W: 20.12 (14.66-28.13) 100% in, 99% home, 87% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 87%
(11%) 8W: 17.58 (12.27-23.24) 100% in, 99% home, 50% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 50%
( 3%) 7W: 15.09 (10.04-20.19) 100% in, 86% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), Valley (3-0) 13%
( 1%) 6W: 12.65 ( 7.90-16.48) 94% in, 55% home, proj. #8 (#5-out), Valley (3-0) 18%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(49%) WWWWWWW: 22.25 (16.54-28.53) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 99%
( 4%) WWLWWWW: 20.99 (17.32-26.81) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 96%
(20%) WWWWWWL: 20.42 (14.86-28.13) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 92%
( 2%) LWWWWWW: 19.66 (15.73-25.07) 100% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 83%
( 3%) WLWWWWW: 19.25 (15.12-24.30) 100% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 79%
( 6%) WWWLWWW: 19.05 (14.66-24.66) 100% in, 99% home, 75% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 75%
( 2%) WWWLWWL: 17.37 (13.80-21.91) 100% in, 99% home, 47% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 47%
( 1%) WLWLWWL: 13.86 (11.41-18.40) 100% in, 84% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Valley (3-0) 18%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 104.5, #334, D6 #35), likely in and likely home, 86% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 105.7, #324, D6 #30), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-4), 86% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 103.4, #341, D6 #31), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 91% home (maybe if 6-4), 76% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 97.0, #388, D6 #37), 90% (bubble if 4-6), 79% home (maybe if 5-5), 58% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 8-2
Last season 98.6