Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#89 of 102 in Division 4
#22 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #100 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #88 in D4 (-505 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 18-12 H #439 Aiken (2-6) D2 R8, pick: L by 31 (8%), perf. rating 78
08/28 L 17-8 H #501 Summit Country Day (4-3) D5 R20, pick: L by 4 (42%), perf. rating 65
09/04 W 39-0 A #646 Finneytown (0-7) D6 R24, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 103
09/12 L 36-20 A #579 Gamble Montessori (6-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 18 (86%), perf. rating 42
09/18 L 56-20 H #293 Hughes (8-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 31 (3%), perf. rating 55
09/26 W 28-12 A #690 Manchester (3-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 42
10/02 W 19-6 H #654 Shroder (1-6) D4 R16, pick: W by 24 (94%), perf. rating 58
10/09 L 62-0 A #227 North College Hill (7-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 40 (1%), perf. rating 58
10/17 H #666 Norwood (1-7) D4 R16, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 A #602 Cincinnati Country Day (4-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 1 (53%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.31 Harbin points (divisor 95)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.94 ( 3.80- 8.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 3.20 ( 2.83- 6.34) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(50%) 5W: 6.31 ( 5.94- 8.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(47%) 4W: 4.17 ( 3.80- 6.34) out, proj. out
( 3%) 3W: 3.20 ( 2.83- 4.14) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(50%) WW: 6.31 ( 5.94- 8.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), North College Hill (7-0) 100%
( 1%) LW: 5.34 ( 4.97- 6.34) out
(46%) WL: 4.17 ( 3.80- 5.49) out
( 3%) LL: 3.20 ( 2.83- 4.14) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 62.7, #583, D4 #90), 3% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (2-4, 61.2, #595, D4 #91), 4% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (1-4, 64.7, #583, D4 #91), 4% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (1-3, 64.5, #579, D4 #91), 5% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (1-2, 73.0, #543, D4 #86), 37% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 2 (0-2, 61.5, #598, D4 #94), 16% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 66.1, #577, D4 #91), 33% (bubble if 6-4), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 57.0, #617, D4 #94), 23% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 58.1