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Rankings
#94 of 101 in Division 4
#24 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #100 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #77 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 H #391 Aiken (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 31 (8%)
08/28 H #564 Summit Country Day (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 10 (31%)
09/04 A #599 Finneytown (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 7 (35%)
09/10 A #673 Gamble Montessori (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 20 (88%)
09/18 H #425 Hughes (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 28 (4%)
09/25 A #680 Manchester (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/02 H #565 Shroder (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/09 A #538 North College Hill (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/17 H #678 Norwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 A #453 Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 28 (3%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.90 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
22% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.03 ( 1.10-27.64) 59% in, 30% home, 6% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 10%
Lose: 6.63 ( 0.00-24.57) 19% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 21.56 (15.94-27.64) 100% in, 97% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 44%
( 2%) 9W: 18.79 (13.33-25.49) 99% in, 81% home, 15% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 15%
( 5%) 8W: 15.66 ( 9.84-21.94) 95% in, 48% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 7%
( 8%) 7W: 13.25 ( 6.96-21.14) 76% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
(12%) 6W: 10.95 ( 6.36-17.81) 45% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
(14%) 5W: 8.90 ( 4.00-15.19) 16% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
(17%) 4W: 6.90 ( 2.58-12.52) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(16%) 3W: 5.07 ( 1.45- 9.49) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(13%) 2W: 3.22 ( 0.85- 7.71) out, proj. out
( 8%) 1W: 1.43 ( 0.35- 5.08) out, proj. out
( 3%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 8%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 7%
Valley View (0-0) 6%
Taylor (0-0) 6%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 17%
Wyoming (0-0) 12%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Taft (0-0) 11%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 11%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 126.5, #168, D4 #15), 88% (bubble if 4-6), 74% home (maybe if 6-4), 41% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 58.1