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Rankings
#101 of 101 in Division 4
#26 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #99 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #88 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #466 Deer Park (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 40 (3%)
08/28 A #393 Mariemont (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 45 (1%)
09/04 H #673 Gamble Montessori (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 2 (46%)
09/11 A #564 Summit Country Day (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 32 (3%)
09/18 H #444 St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 40 (1%)
09/25 H #551 Bethel-Tate (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/02 H #692 Dayton Stivers (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 15 (83%)
10/09 A #453 Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/17 A #617 Clark Montessori (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/23 H #538 North College Hill (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 32 (2%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.55 Harbin points (divisor 97)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.84 ( 0.40-23.52) 15% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Valley View (0-0) 12%
Lose: 1.89 ( 0.00-22.14) 2% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Wyoming (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 14.34 ( 9.39-20.99) 82% in, 29% home, 3% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out)
( 1%) 6W: 11.36 ( 8.01-16.57) 51% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Valley View (0-0) 10%
( 3%) 5W: 8.80 ( 4.42-13.33) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Clinton-Massie (0-0) 14%
( 7%) 4W: 6.33 ( 3.09-12.17) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(15%) 3W: 4.34 ( 1.76-10.12) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(26%) 2W: 2.55 ( 0.80- 7.65) out, proj. out
(31%) 1W: 0.81 ( 0.35- 4.68) out, proj. out
(15%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 10%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 8%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 8%
Taft (0-0) 8%
Valley View (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 88.8, #446, D4 #70), 38% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 8-2), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 30.7