Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#99 of 102 in Division 4
#25 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #97 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #98 in D4 (-767 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 43-0 A #256 Deer Park (7-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 40 (3%), perf. rating 54
08/28 L 49-6 A #385 Mariemont (3-4) D5 R20, pick: L by 46 (1%), perf. rating 36
09/04 L 20-6 H #572 Gamble Montessori (6-1) D5 R20, pick: L by 17 (17%), perf. rating 43
09/11 L 47-6 A #490 Summit Country Day (4-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 34 (2%), perf. rating 24
09/18 L 35-0 H #435 St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 37 (1%), perf. rating 35
09/25 L 21-15 H #600 Bethel-Tate (2-5) D5 R20, pick: L by 22 (8%), perf. rating 48
10/02 W 42-0 H #694 Dayton Stivers (0-4) D5 R20, pick: W by 28 (96%), perf. rating 67
10/09 A #618 Cincinnati Country Day (3-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 15 (16%)
10/17 A #583 Clark Montessori (3-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 H #231 North College Hill (6-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 47 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.82 Harbin points (divisor 95)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.43 ( 2.06- 9.54) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Lose: 0.82 ( 0.45- 7.77) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 3W: 4.62 ( 4.25- 7.77) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(20%) 2W: 2.43 ( 2.06- 6.11) out, proj. out
(77%) 1W: 0.82 ( 0.45- 1.34) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWL: 4.62 ( 4.25- 5.30) out
( 6%) LWL: 2.63 ( 2.27- 3.53) out
(14%) WLL: 2.43 ( 2.06- 3.48) out
(77%) LLL: 0.82 ( 0.45- 1.34) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 42.0, #645, D4 #99), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 6 (0-6, 38.9, #655, D4 #99), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 5 (0-5, 35.2, #663, D4 #100), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 4 (0-4, 34.4, #662, D4 #100), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 31.9, #666, D4 #100), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 32.4, #667, D4 #100), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 29.5, #676, D4 #101), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 30.6, #678, D4 #101), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 30.7