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Rankings
#62 of 101 in Division 4
#15 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #39 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #85 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #551 Bethel-Tate (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 23 (85%)
08/28 H #345 Williamsburg (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 7 (36%)
09/04 A #77 Indian Hill (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 38 (2%)
09/11 A #168 Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 29 (4%)
09/18 H #422 Purcell Marian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 3 (56%)
09/25 H #123 Clinton-Massie (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/02 A #362 Goshen (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/09 A #392 Western Brown (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/16 H #379 Batavia (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/23 A #333 Wilmington (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 12 (21%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
9.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
34% (bubble if 5-5), 17% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.15 ( 0.45-34.30) 38% in, 19% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 15%
Lose: 2.40 ( 0.00-26.05) 8% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 26.15 (17.35-31.75) 100% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 91%
( 4%) 8W: 22.45 (12.85-28.65) 100% in, 98% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 57%
( 7%) 7W: 18.75 (11.75-24.85) 99% in, 82% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 14%
(10%) 6W: 15.30 ( 8.95-22.15) 92% in, 40% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
(13%) 5W: 12.05 ( 5.85-19.50) 61% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 9%
(15%) 4W: 9.30 ( 3.70-15.50) 21% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 12%
(17%) 3W: 6.65 ( 2.40-12.20) 3% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Wyoming (0-0) 13%
(16%) 2W: 4.35 ( 0.95- 9.20) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(12%) 1W: 2.30 ( 0.45- 4.80) out, proj. out
( 4%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 7%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 6%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 5%
Meadowdale (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 16%
Taft (0-0) 14%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 86.5, #458, D4 #73), 56% (bubble if 5-5), 32% home (maybe if 6-4), 10% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 5-5
Last season 93.0