Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#50 of 105 in Division 4
#12 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #49 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D4 (-185 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 28-6 H #257 Mechanicsburg (3-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 9 (34%), perf. rating 80
08/29 L 35-27 A #342 Circleville (4-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 6 (38%), perf. rating 94
09/05 W 42-14 H #633 Finneytown (1-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 25 (92%), perf. rating 94
09/12 W 31-16 H #165 Granville (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 42 (1%), perf. rating 149
09/19 H #558 Shroder (1-3) D4 R16, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/26 A #571 McClain (3-1) D4 R16, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/03 H #326 Chillicothe (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/10 H #142 Jackson (3-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/17 A #346 Hillsboro (3-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/24 A #276 Miami Trace (4-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 8 (30%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
13.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
89% (bubble if 4-6), 36% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.30 ( 6.10-26.50) 91% in, 37% home, 6% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Brookville (4-0) 14%
Lose: 9.40 ( 4.50-22.70) 44% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Brookville (4-0) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 8W: 24.90 (22.10-26.50) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 97%
(15%) 7W: 20.55 (17.90-24.40) 100% in, 99% home, 19% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 19%
(28%) 6W: 16.30 (13.50-20.15) 100% in, 55% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Brookville (4-0) 18%
(31%) 5W: 13.05 ( 9.25-17.50) 98% in, 7% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (3-1) 17%
(20%) 4W: 10.05 ( 7.30-14.15) 63% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Wyoming (3-1) 26%
( 3%) 3W: 7.85 ( 5.15- 9.40) 14% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWWWW: 24.90 (22.10-26.50) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 97%
(13%) WWWLWW: 20.55 (18.15-22.80) 100% in, 99% home, 18% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#9), bye 18%
( 6%) WWWLLW: 16.75 (14.05-19.60) 100% in, 62% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Brookville (4-0) 19%
(15%) WWWLWL: 15.85 (13.50-18.90) 100% in, 44% home, proj. #9 (#5-#12), Brookville (4-0) 18%
(10%) WWLLWL: 13.15 (10.90-15.70) 99% in, 8% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (3-1) 18%
(14%) WWWLLL: 12.40 ( 9.25-15.10) 96% in, 3% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (3-1) 17%
(18%) WWLLLL: 10.05 ( 7.30-12.45) 63% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Wyoming (3-1) 26%
( 1%) LWLLLL: 7.40 ( 5.15- 8.90) 7% in, proj. out (#10-out), Brookville (4-0) 25%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 105.5, #325, D4 #50), 89% (bubble if 4-6), 36% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 5-5
Week 3 (1-2, 83.7, #473, D4 #77), 10% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (0-2, 80.7, #495, D4 #83), 9% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 83.8, #482, D4 #84), 27% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 91.2, #440, D4 #76), 31% (bubble if 6-4), 14% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 88.9