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Rankings
#55 of 101 in Division 4
#14 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #66 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #98 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #275 Mechanicsburg (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 13 (28%)
08/28 H #309 Circleville (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 4 (42%)
09/04 H #661 Thurgood Marshall (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/11 H #277 Heath (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 9 (30%)
09/18 A #565 Shroder (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 26 (95%)
09/25 H #460 Hillsboro (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/02 H #548 McClain (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/09 A #319 Chillicothe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/16 A #107 Jackson (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/23 H #209 Miami Trace (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 17 (13%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
48% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.35 ( 1.65-33.95) 79% in, 52% home, 20% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 26%
Lose: 8.80 ( 0.00-31.05) 35% in, 14% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 7%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 26.95 (20.65-33.95) 100% in, 99% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 92%
( 5%) 9W: 22.85 (14.40-32.10) 100% in, 98% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 60%
( 9%) 8W: 19.25 (12.70-27.35) 99% in, 85% home, 20% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 20%
(13%) 7W: 15.90 ( 9.45-24.40) 95% in, 51% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 7%
(16%) 6W: 12.80 ( 7.10-19.80) 74% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
(16%) 5W: 9.90 ( 4.95-18.10) 32% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 11%
(16%) 4W: 7.35 ( 3.15-14.25) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Wyoming (0-0) 11%
(11%) 3W: 5.25 ( 1.90-10.80) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 7%) 2W: 3.25 ( 1.05- 9.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.50 ( 0.50- 5.15) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 6%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 6%
Meadowdale (0-0) 5%
Valley View (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 17%
Taft (0-0) 13%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 11%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 134.5, #126, D4 #11), 84% (bubble if 5-5), 71% home (maybe if 6-4), 44% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 104.6