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Rankings
#64 of 104 in Division 7
#19 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #21 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #36 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #675 Hilltop (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 21 (83%)
08/28 H #518 Lakota (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 17 (20%)
09/04 A #461 Edon (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 27 (7%)
09/11 H #248 Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 39 (1%)
09/18 H #400 Tinora (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 30 (3%)
09/25 A #571 Antwerp (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 12 (22%)
10/02 H #473 Wayne Trace (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/09 A #545 Ayersville (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/16 H #308 Paulding (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/23 A #455 Edgerton (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 28 (3%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.33 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
13% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.15 ( 0.35-21.80) 16% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Edon (0-0) 10%
Lose: 0.18 ( 0.00-17.30) 2% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 16.25 (13.60-21.80) 100% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 60%
( 1%) 8W: 13.78 ( 9.90-17.80) 100% in, 94% home, 20% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), bye 20%
( 2%) 7W: 11.25 ( 7.70-15.25) 99% in, 60% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Montpelier (0-0) 10%
( 4%) 6W: 9.00 ( 5.70-14.65) 87% in, 20% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Edon (0-0) 10%
( 7%) 5W: 6.95 ( 3.90-12.20) 48% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), North Baltimore (0-0) 12%
(11%) 4W: 5.25 ( 2.15- 9.70) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 12%
(16%) 3W: 3.60 ( 1.40- 8.00) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(22%) 2W: 2.33 ( 0.70- 7.15) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(26%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.35- 3.70) out, proj. out
( 9%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Edon (0-0) 10%
North Baltimore (0-0) 9%
Mohawk (0-0) 8%
Arlington (0-0) 7%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) 18%
Gibsonburg (0-0) 17%
Leipsic (0-0) 15%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 10%
Mohawk (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 33.8, #675, D7 #88), 17% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 55.0