Region 26 home page
Region 26 projections
Region 26 playoff probabilities
Region 26 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 26 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#19 of 103 in Division 7
#5 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #29 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #17 in D7 (+161 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 35-0 A #136 New Bremen (3-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 35 (5%), perf. rating 82
08/28 W 55-0 H #594 Spencerville (0-7) D6 R22, pick: W by 6 (62%), perf. rating 121
09/04 W 35-21 A #430 Crestview (Convoy) (2-5) D6 R22, pick: W by 3 (57%), perf. rating 113
09/11 W 57-15 H #524 Ayersville (2-5) D7 R26, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 137
09/18 L 42-20 A #252 Paulding (6-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 84
09/25 W 56-13 H #643 Edgerton (0-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 104
10/02 W 49-0 A #661 Hicksville (0-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 103
10/09 H #347 Tinora (3-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/16 H #526 Antwerp (3-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 A #305 Fairview (Sherwood) (5-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 8 (30%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
7.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
83% (bubble if 6-4), 20% home (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.95 ( 5.80-11.95) 98% in, 32% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Montpelier (5-2) 27%
Lose: 5.75 ( 4.00- 9.80) 65% in, 6% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Edon (6-1) 26%
Based on eventual number of wins
(20%) 8W: 10.75 (10.75-11.95) 100% in, 80% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), Montpelier (5-2) 29%
(42%) 7W: 7.55 ( 7.55- 9.80) 99% in, 9% home, proj. #9 (#7-out), Pandora-Gilboa (3-4) 28%
(35%) 6W: 5.75 ( 5.75- 7.95) 61% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Edon (6-1) 35%
( 3%) 5W: 4.00 ( 4.00- 5.15) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(20%) WWW: 10.75 (10.75-11.95) 100% in, 80% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), Montpelier (5-2) 29%
(10%) LWW: 8.95 ( 8.95- 9.80) 100% in, 29% home, proj. #9 (#7-#11), Montpelier (5-2) 35%
(32%) WWL: 7.55 ( 7.55- 9.15) 99% in, 3% home, proj. #10 (#8-out), Pandora-Gilboa (3-4) 29%
( 2%) WLL: 5.80 ( 5.80- 7.00) 47% in, proj. out (#9-out), Edon (6-1) 36%
(33%) LWL: 5.75 ( 5.75- 6.95) 61% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Edon (6-1) 36%
( 3%) LLL: 4.00 ( 4.00- 5.15) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 102.2, #353, D7 #19), 83% (bubble if 6-4), 20% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 100.2, #365, D7 #19), 74% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 100.5, #362, D7 #18), 80% (bubble if 6-4), 10% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 4 (3-1, 106.0, #319, D7 #14), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 41% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 102.3, #353, D7 #17), 85% (bubble if 6-4), 39% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 99.4, #366, D7 #16), 68% (bubble if 6-4), 20% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 83.3, #477, D7 #30), 30% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 84.7, #473, D7 #32), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 82.2