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Rankings
#19 of 103 in Division 7
#6 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #30 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #20 in D7 (+137 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 35-0 A #148 New Bremen (3-5) D7 R28, pick: L by 35 (5%), perf. rating 80
08/28 W 55-0 H #594 Spencerville (0-8) D6 R22, pick: W by 6 (62%), perf. rating 121
09/04 W 35-21 A #435 Crestview (Convoy) (2-6) D6 R22, pick: W by 3 (57%), perf. rating 112
09/11 W 57-15 H #515 Ayersville (3-5) D7 R26, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 138
09/18 L 42-20 A #272 Paulding (7-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 82
09/25 W 56-13 H #638 Edgerton (0-8) D7 R26, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 106
10/02 W 49-0 A #663 Hicksville (0-8) D7 R26, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 101
10/09 L 20-14 H #323 Tinora (4-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 1 (53%), perf. rating 95
10/16 H #533 Antwerp (3-5) D7 R26, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/23 A #302 Fairview (Sherwood) (6-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 12 (21%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
5.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
49% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.75 ( 5.75- 9.75) 51% in, 8% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Edon (7-1) 27%
Lose: 4.35 ( 4.00- 7.95) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(23%) 7W: 8.95 ( 8.95- 9.75) 100% in, 33% home, proj. #9 (#7-#11), Montpelier (6-2) 43%
(73%) 6W: 5.75 ( 5.75- 7.95) 37% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Edon (7-1) 44%
( 5%) 5W: 4.35 ( 4.00- 5.15) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(23%) WW: 8.95 ( 8.95- 9.75) 100% in, 33% home, proj. #9 (#7-#11), Montpelier (6-2) 43%
(72%) WL: 5.75 ( 5.75- 6.95) 36% in, proj. out (#10-out), Edon (7-1) 45%
( 5%) LL: 4.35 ( 4.00- 5.15) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 102.2, #353, D7 #19), 83% (bubble if 6-4), 19% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 100.2, #365, D7 #19), 74% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 100.5, #362, D7 #18), 80% (bubble if 6-4), 10% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 4 (3-1, 106.0, #319, D7 #14), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 41% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 102.3, #353, D7 #17), 85% (bubble if 6-4), 39% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 99.4, #366, D7 #16), 68% (bubble if 6-4), 20% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 83.3, #477, D7 #30), 30% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 84.7, #473, D7 #32), 40% (bubble if 5-5), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 82.2