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Rankings
#14 of 107 in Division 6
#3 of 27 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #72 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #25 in D6 (+82 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 34-6 A #482 Briggs (2-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 125
08/28 W 53-0 A #604 Whetstone (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 43 (98%), perf. rating 124
09/05 W 35-14 A #454 Northridge (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 26 (93%), perf. rating 118
09/12 W 35-0 H #467 Bexley (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 27 (95%), perf. rating 133
09/19 A #631 Chesapeake (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/26 H #341 Linden McKinley (4-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/03 H #560 Worthington Christian (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/10 H #491 Grove City Christian (3-1) D6 R23, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/17 H #376 Valley (4-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/24 A #683 Mifflin (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 49 (99%)
Regular season projections
10-0 record
25.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in and likely home, 96% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 24.50 (10.20-29.80) 99% in, 99% home, 96% bye, proj. #1 (#1-out), bye 96%
Lose: 22.48 (14.10-27.55) 100% home, 89% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#8), bye 89%
Based on eventual number of wins
(72%) 10W: 25.00 (20.45-29.80) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(22%) 9W: 20.75 (17.15-27.55) 100% home, 97% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 97%
( 5%) 8W: 16.80 (12.80-24.75) 99% in, 91% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 40%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(72%) WWWWWW: 25.00 (20.45-29.80) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 2%) WWWLWW: 21.80 (18.85-25.30) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 7%) WWWWLW: 21.20 (17.90-26.85) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(11%) WLWWWW: 20.15 (17.15-24.00) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 96%
( 3%) WLWWLW: 16.20 (12.80-20.25) 99% in, 86% home, 24% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 24%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 117.7, #234, D6 #14), likely in and likely home, 96% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 112.1, #275, D6 #20), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 86% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 112.0, #279, D6 #18), 98% (bubble if 6-4), 94% home (maybe if 7-3), 81% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 114.0, #264, D6 #16), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 81% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 0 (0-0, 100.1, #356, D6 #26), 83% (bubble if 5-5), 72% home (maybe if 7-3), 52% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 109.7