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Rankings
#77 of 108 in Division 6
#20 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #58 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #82 in D6 (-380 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 26-18 H #569 Centennial (1-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 21 (83%), perf. rating 77
08/28 W 53-0 H #669 Whetstone (0-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 93
09/04 L 49-14 H #450 Northridge (3-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 16 (81%), perf. rating 33
09/10 L 14-3 A #475 Bexley (3-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 16 (17%), perf. rating 69
09/18 L 54-23 H #165 Fort Frye (6-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 42 (1%), perf. rating 80
09/25 L 46-7 A #279 Linden McKinley (6-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 56
10/02 A #348 Worthington Christian (4-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 30 (3%)
10/09 A #567 Grove City Christian (3-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/16 A #471 Valley (4-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/23 H #677 Mifflin (0-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
6.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.85 ( 5.60-12.85) 23% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Lose: 5.15 ( 2.35-10.65) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 5W: 8.95 ( 7.65-10.65) 6% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(41%) 4W: 6.15 ( 5.00- 8.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(47%) 3W: 3.55 ( 3.50- 6.30) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.90 ( 2.35- 4.10) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 8%) LWWW: 8.95 ( 7.80-10.65) 5% in, proj. out (#10-out), Waterford (4-2) 30%
( 1%) WWLW: 8.90 ( 7.65-10.30) 9% in, proj. out (#10-out), Newark Catholic (4-2) 23%
( 4%) LLWW: 6.35 ( 5.90- 7.50) out
(36%) LWLW: 6.15 ( 5.00- 7.90) out
(46%) LLLW: 3.55 ( 3.50- 5.10) out
( 1%) LLLL: 2.90 ( 2.35- 4.10) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (2-4, 68.0, #563, D6 #77), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 67.7, #568, D6 #79), 2% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (2-2, 64.4, #580, D6 #83), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (2-1, 64.5, #578, D6 #82), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (2-0, 85.4, #460, D6 #57), 47% (bubble if 6-4), 24% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 87.3, #446, D6 #56), 58% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (maybe if 7-3), 14% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 90.4, #441, D6 #52), 63% (bubble if 5-5), 43% home (maybe if 7-3), 20% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Last season 84.7