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Rankings
#85 of 105 in Division 5
#23 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #50 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #26 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #533 Waynedale (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 3 (45%)
08/28 H #560 Coshocton (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 2 (54%)
09/04 A #534 East Knox (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 6 (37%)
09/11 A #363 Fairless (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 28 (5%)
09/18 A #516 East Canton (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 9 (29%)
09/25 H #135 Garaway (0-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 42 (1%)
10/02 A #31 Indian Valley (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/09 H #420 Claymont (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/16 A #215 Ridgewood (0-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/23 A #578 Sandy Valley (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 2 (55%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.83 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
8% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.74 ( 0.45-23.69) 16% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
Lose: 1.61 ( 0.00-19.35) 2% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Martins Ferry (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 18.80 (15.16-22.84) 100% in, 91% home, 28% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), bye 28%
( 1%) 8W: 15.07 (11.03-21.23) 98% in, 60% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Martins Ferry (0-0) 9%
( 4%) 7W: 12.24 ( 7.80-18.76) 78% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 6W: 9.52 ( 5.43-16.44) 35% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Girard (0-0) 9%
(11%) 5W: 7.40 ( 2.91-13.16) 9% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Girard (0-0) 12%
(13%) 4W: 5.54 ( 2.10-11.60) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(16%) 3W: 3.83 ( 1.20- 9.89) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(17%) 2W: 2.42 ( 0.75- 7.87) out, proj. out
(17%) 1W: 0.96 ( 0.35- 4.64) out, proj. out
(14%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Girard (0-0) 9%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 8%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 8%
Liberty (0-0) 7%
Garfield (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 24%
Barnesville (0-0) 15%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 11%
Girard (0-0) 10%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 63.6, #590, D5 #90), 16% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 69.2