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Rankings
#49 of 105 in Division 5
#12 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #25 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 A #578 Sandy Valley (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 28 (90%)
08/28 H #533 Waynedale (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 26 (90%)
09/04 H #420 Claymont (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 10 (71%)
09/11 H #558 Tuscarawas Valley (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 28 (95%)
09/18 H #226 Orrville (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 14 (19%)
09/25 H #137 Triway (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/02 A #175 Manchester (Akron) (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/09 H #245 Canton South (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/16 A #202 Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/23 A #293 Tuslaw (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
41% (bubble if 6-4), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.35 ( 0.45-28.95) 45% in, 21% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Lose: 4.40 ( 0.00-25.55) 12% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Girard (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 24.55 (19.80-28.95) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 98%
( 4%) 9W: 20.58 (16.15-26.25) 100% in, 99% home, 59% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 59%
( 8%) 8W: 17.02 (12.55-22.15) 99% in, 87% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 12%
(12%) 7W: 14.00 ( 9.05-22.95) 96% in, 42% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Berkshire (0-0) 9%
(15%) 6W: 11.20 ( 7.05-17.85) 69% in, 8% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Garfield (0-0) 9%
(17%) 5W: 8.80 ( 4.50-14.90) 26% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Girard (0-0) 10%
(17%) 4W: 6.80 ( 2.85-12.10) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out), Girard (0-0) 13%
(13%) 3W: 4.60 ( 1.70- 9.35) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 8%) 2W: 2.70 ( 0.90- 7.20) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 1.20 ( 0.45- 4.85) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Berkshire (0-0) 7%
Girard (0-0) 7%
Liberty (0-0) 7%
Garfield (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 19%
Barnesville (0-0) 14%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 11%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 9%
Girard (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 98.4, #378, D5 #51), 64% (bubble if 5-5), 43% home (maybe if 7-3), 17% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 103.6