Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#241 Ridgewood Generals (4-0) 116.7

Updated Sat 13-Sep-2025 10:57 PM
Week 4 complete

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Rankings
#15 of 107 in Division 6
#4 of 27 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #44 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #17 in D6 (+153 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/22 W 31-7 H #534 Coshocton (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 32 (93%), perf. rating 108
08/29 W 56-0 A #648 River View (0-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 45 (99%), perf. rating 112
09/05 W 23-20 H #381 Lutheran East (1-3) D3 R9, pick: W by 22 (89%), perf. rating 101
09/12 W 31-0 A #423 Utica (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 16 (83%), perf. rating 140
09/19 H #469 East Canton (4-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 30 (97%)
09/26 A #561 Tuscarawas Valley (1-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 34 (98%)
10/03 H #607 Sandy Valley (0-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/10 A #27 Indian Valley (3-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/17 A #395 Claymont (3-1) D5 R17, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/24 H #179 Garaway (3-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 8 (30%)

Regular season projections
8-2 record
15.79 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#7 seed in R23 playoffs

Playoff chances now
96% (bubble if 6-4), 75% home (maybe if 8-2), 26% bye (maybe if 9-1)

Depending on the next game
Win: 16.20 ( 8.87-25.93) 97% in, 77% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 12.08 ( 6.64-21.75) 61% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#2-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%

Based on eventual number of wins
(31%) 9W: 19.15 (16.40-22.78) 100% in, 99% home, 71% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 71%
(53%) 8W: 15.79 (12.68-20.33) 99% in, 78% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 11%
(14%) 7W: 12.74 ( 9.88-17.33) 83% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 16%
( 2%) 6W: 10.28 ( 7.49-14.03) 30% in, 2% home, proj. out (#7-out)

Under certain win/loss scenarios
(30%) WWWLWW: 19.15 (16.40-22.78) 100% in, 99% home, 71% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 71%
( 3%) WWWLLW: 15.85 (13.70-18.81) 100% in, 84% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#11), Toronto (4-0) 11%
(50%) WWWLWL: 15.74 (12.68-19.47) 99% in, 78% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 11%
(11%) WWWLLL: 12.74 ( 9.88-15.91) 82% in, 11% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 17%
( 2%) LWWLWL: 12.43 (10.04-14.53) 81% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 15%

Most likely first-round opponents
Grove City Christian (3-1) 9%
Toronto (4-0) 8%
Crestview (Ashland) (2-2) 7%
Northmor (2-2) 6%

Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 116.7, #241, D6 #15), 96% (bubble if 6-4), 75% home (maybe if 8-2), 26% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 114.7, #258, D6 #17), 95% (bubble if 6-4), 77% home (maybe if 7-3), 34% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 120.4, #219, D6 #11), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 72% home (maybe if 7-3), 33% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 121.2, #200, D6 #11), 90% (bubble if 6-4), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 35% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 122.2, #198, D6 #10), 83% (bubble if 6-4), 62% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 8-2
Last season 124.0