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Rankings
#100 of 107 in Division 6
#23 of 27 in Region 24
Strength of schedule #51 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #105 in D6 (-890 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 L 41-0 A #469 Piketon (2-1) D5 R19, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 25
08/28 L 34-7 A #437 McClain (3-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 18 (18%), perf. rating 51
09/04 L 35-6 A #599 Chesapeake (1-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 17 (83%), perf. rating 18
09/11 H #156 Wheelersburg (1-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 49 (1%)
09/18 A #598 Minford (1-2) D6 R24, pick: L by 19 (12%)
09/25 A #389 Valley (3-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/02 H #520 Vinton County (2-1) D5 R19, pick: L by 28 (4%)
10/09 A #245 Portsmouth West (3-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/16 H #405 Waverly (1-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/23 H #692 Oak Hill (0-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R24 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.47 ( 1.70-11.00) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 0.40 ( 0.00- 9.80) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 3W: 4.20 ( 2.80- 7.80) out, proj. out
(18%) 2W: 1.78 ( 1.55- 5.95) out, proj. out
(75%) 1W: 0.40 ( 0.40- 3.85) out, proj. out
( 4%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLWLW: 4.25 ( 2.50- 5.10) out
( 2%) LWLWLLW: 4.20 ( 2.80- 5.60) out
( 1%) LLWLLLW: 3.65 ( 2.40- 4.60) out
( 1%) WLLLLLW: 3.00 ( 1.70- 3.95) out
( 4%) LLLWLLW: 2.95 ( 1.55- 4.40) out
(10%) LWLLLLW: 1.65 ( 1.65- 2.90) out
(74%) LLLLLLW: 0.40 ( 0.40- 1.35) out
( 4%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 43.4, #646, D6 #100), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 63.1, #593, D6 #87), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 66.2, #576, D6 #80), 7% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 87.0, #454, D6 #54), 59% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 90.3