Region 19 home page
Region 19 projections
Region 19 playoff probabilities
Region 19 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 19 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#79 of 106 in Division 5
#19 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #98 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #64 in D5 (-230 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 42-19 H #452 Piketon (2-2) D5 R19, pick: L by 11 (31%), perf. rating 49
08/29 W 46-24 H #571 McClain (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 3 (44%), perf. rating 99
09/05 W 42-41 H #631 Chesapeake (0-4) D6 R24, pick: W by 30 (95%), perf. rating 54
09/12 L 35-0 A #94 Wheelersburg (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 47 (1%), perf. rating 92
09/19 H #598 Minford (2-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 13 (79%)
09/26 H #376 Valley (4-0) D5 R19, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/03 A #627 Vinton County (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 15 (83%)
10/10 H #477 Portsmouth West (1-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 7 (32%)
10/17 A #511 Waverly (0-4) D4 R15, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/24 A #676 Oak Hill (0-4) D5 R19, pick: W by 30 (98%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
5.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
4% (likely needs 8-2), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.05 ( 3.40-15.50) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 18%
Lose: 4.40 ( 2.10-12.45) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 8W: 13.15 (11.35-15.50) 94% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Columbus Academy (2-2) 17%
(14%) 7W: 9.80 ( 7.90-13.15) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 23%
(28%) 6W: 7.55 ( 5.75-11.60) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(32%) 5W: 5.80 ( 4.35- 9.45) out, proj. out
(17%) 4W: 4.40 ( 3.05- 7.95) out, proj. out
( 6%) 3W: 3.00 ( 2.55- 5.70) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWW: 13.15 (11.35-15.50) 94% in, 7% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Columbus Academy (2-2) 17%
(11%) WLWWWW: 9.70 ( 7.90-13.05) 5% in, proj. out (#10-out), Africentric Early Coll. (3-1) 22%
(12%) WLWLWW: 7.55 ( 5.75-10.20) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Barnesville (4-0) 100%
(12%) WLWWLW: 7.50 ( 6.05-10.35) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Amanda-Clearcreek (1-3) 33%
(24%) WLWLLW: 5.70 ( 4.35- 8.55) out
( 8%) LLWLLW: 4.40 ( 3.05- 6.55) out
( 7%) WLLLLW: 4.30 ( 3.85- 6.80) out
( 5%) LLLLLW: 3.00 ( 2.55- 4.45) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 72.6, #544, D5 #79), 4% (likely needs 8-2), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 70.3, #558, D5 #85), 4% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (1-1, 79.4, #509, D5 #76), 6% (bubble if 8-2), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 67.3, #577, D5 #89), 2% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 74.4, #541, D5 #81), 19% (bubble if 7-3), 6% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 79.3