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Rankings
#82 of 107 in Division 3
#20 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #55 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #100 in D3 (-777 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 34-22 A #346 Hillsboro (3-1) D3 R12, pick: W by 6 (61%), perf. rating 88
08/29 L 43-24 H Independence Simon Kenton KY (2-2) D1
09/05 L 35-16 A #326 Chillicothe (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 5 (39%), perf. rating 79
09/12 L 49-14 H #142 Jackson (3-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 31 (3%), perf. rating 79
09/19 H #276 Miami Trace (4-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 22 (8%)
09/26 A #292 Wilmington (3-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/03 H #332 Batavia (2-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/10 A #379 New Richmond (2-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/17 A #172 Clinton-Massie (3-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/24 H #306 Goshen (3-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 20 (9%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 6.58 ( 2.67-20.27) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-16.13) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 4W: 12.25 (10.63-15.28) 28% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 4%) 3W: 8.52 ( 6.90-11.75) out, proj. out
(12%) 2W: 5.19 ( 3.52- 8.93) out, proj. out
(28%) 1W: 2.52 ( 1.51- 5.35) out, proj. out
(54%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLWWLW: 7.71 ( 7.11- 9.83) out
( 2%) LLWLLW: 5.65 ( 4.58- 7.72) out
( 2%) LLLWLW: 5.09 ( 4.13- 7.21) out
( 3%) LLWWLL: 4.08 ( 3.52- 6.81) out
( 7%) LLLLLW: 3.02 ( 2.12- 4.64) out
( 7%) LLWLLL: 2.01 ( 1.51- 4.14) out
( 9%) LLLWLL: 1.51 ( 1.51- 3.68) out
(54%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 86.5, #448, D3 #82), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 88.7, #432, D3 #80), 3% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 91.3, #423, D3 #79), 5% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 88.3, #451, D3 #85), 7% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 96.3, #395, D3 #76), 32% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 97.4