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Rankings
#71 of 102 in Division 3
#15 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #60 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #82 in D3 (-440 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 49-13 H #554 Hillsboro (0-8) D3 R12, pick: W by 13 (72%), perf. rating 122
08/28 L 34-27 A Simon Kenton KY (3-4) D1
09/04 L 56-21 H #155 Chillicothe (7-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 22 (11%), perf. rating 75
09/11 L 56-21 A #197 Jackson (5-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 29 (4%), perf. rating 74
09/18 L 42-21 A #187 Miami Trace (7-1) D3 R12, pick: L by 18 (13%), perf. rating 95
09/25 L 49-42 H #301 Wilmington (4-4) D4 R16, pick: L by 19 (11%), perf. rating 97
10/02 W 41-21 A #509 Batavia (1-7) D3 R12, pick: W by 21 (91%), perf. rating 110
10/09 L 40-35 H #383 New Richmond (4-4) D4 R16, pick: W by 5 (63%), perf. rating 87
10/16 H #327 Clinton-Massie (2-6) D4 R16, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/23 A #191 Goshen (8-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 27 (4%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.55 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.57 ( 3.52- 9.83) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Lose: 1.55 ( 1.55- 7.81) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 4W: 8.77 ( 8.21- 9.83) 8% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(31%) 3W: 3.57 ( 3.52- 7.81) out, proj. out
(67%) 2W: 1.55 ( 1.55- 3.12) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WW: 8.77 ( 8.21- 9.83) 8% in, proj. out (#12-out), Miami Trace (7-1) 62%
( 2%) LW: 6.75 ( 6.25- 7.81) out
(29%) WL: 3.57 ( 3.52- 4.63) out
(67%) LL: 1.55 ( 1.55- 3.12) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (2-5, 97.6, #379, D3 #71), 2% (bubble if 5-5), no home game, proj. out at 3-7
Week 6 (1-5, 97.0, #384, D3 #71), 3% (bubble if 5-5), no home game, proj. out at 3-7
Week 5 (1-4, 93.0, #409, D3 #74), 3% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 4 (1-3, 96.0, #403, D3 #73), 8% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 99.2, #371, D3 #71), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 4% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 107.1, #313, D3 #62), 48% (bubble if 4-6), 17% home (maybe if 6-4), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (1-0, 108.8, #294, D3 #59), 55% (bubble if 5-5), 26% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 96.9, #392, D3 #72), 45% (bubble if 4-6), 22% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 97.4