Region 12 home page
Region 12 projections
Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 12 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#58 of 104 in Division 3
#11 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #84 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #68 in D3 (-206 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 48-14 H #405 Waverly (1-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 33 (93%), perf. rating 143
08/28 L 35-7 A #279 Wilmington (1-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 17 (80%), perf. rating 73
09/04 W 38-7 A #480 Logan Elm (1-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 7 (65%), perf. rating 131
09/11 H #501 Batavia (0-3) D3 R12, pick: W by 28 (95%)
09/18 H #371 Western Brown (1-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 13 (79%)
09/25 A #140 Jackson (2-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 A #129 Chillicothe (3-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/09 H #572 Hillsboro (0-3) D3 R12, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/16 H #437 McClain (3-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/23 A #400 Washington (1-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
14.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
90% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.45 ( 4.15-26.25) 92% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), Goshen (3-0) 18%
Lose: 9.55 ( 3.15-21.80) 62% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Goshen (3-0) 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 22.70 (19.85-26.25) 100% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#8), bye 41%
(12%) 8W: 18.15 (14.85-23.00) 100% in, 87% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Northwest (Cincy) (3-0) 21%
(43%) 7W: 14.10 (10.70-20.60) 99% in, 23% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Goshen (3-0) 21%
(26%) 6W: 11.50 ( 8.10-16.50) 94% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Indian Hill (2-1) 20%
(11%) 5W: 9.10 ( 5.95-13.80) 65% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Indian Hill (2-1) 28%
( 4%) 4W: 7.00 ( 4.30-10.60) 25% in, proj. out (#10-out), Indian Hill (2-1) 30%
( 1%) 3W: 5.40 ( 3.70- 8.60) 4% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWWW: 22.70 (19.85-26.25) 100% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#8), bye 41%
( 6%) WWLWWWW: 18.50 (15.20-22.55) 100% in, 94% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#10), Northwest (Cincy) (3-0) 21%
( 6%) WWWLWWW: 17.70 (14.85-22.20) 100% in, 80% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Northwest (Cincy) (3-0) 21%
(39%) WWLLWWW: 14.00 (10.70-18.80) 99% in, 21% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Goshen (3-0) 22%
( 8%) WLLLWWW: 11.75 ( 9.00-16.25) 92% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Indian Hill (2-1) 21%
(12%) WWLLWWL: 11.40 ( 8.10-15.35) 95% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Indian Hill (2-1) 20%
( 5%) WLLLWWL: 9.10 ( 6.45-12.60) 60% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Indian Hill (2-1) 29%
( 1%) LLLLWLL: 5.00 ( 3.70- 7.00) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out), Bellbrook (3-0) 50%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 110.0, #291, D3 #58), 90% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 102.3, #345, D3 #67), 64% (bubble if 5-5), 15% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #11 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 121.1, #209, D3 #39), 88% (bubble if 5-5), 59% home (maybe if 8-2), 21% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 119.3, #209, D3 #39), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 64% home (maybe if 7-3), 28% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 122.6