Region 12 home page
Region 12 projections
Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 12 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#44 of 104 in Division 3
#8 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #100 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #37 in D3 (+23 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 40-0 A #523 Reading (1-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 15 (75%), perf. rating 138
08/28 W 49-7 H #572 Hillsboro (0-3) D3 R12, pick: W by 32 (95%), perf. rating 127
09/04 W 34-12 H #431 Aiken (1-2) D2 R8, pick: W by 28 (94%), perf. rating 121
09/11 A #635 Bethel-Tate (0-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 44 (99%)
09/18 A #439 Blanchester (2-1) D5 R20, pick: W by 25 (94%)
09/25 A #501 Batavia (0-3) D3 R12, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/02 H #462 New Richmond (1-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/09 A #232 Clinton-Massie (0-3) D4 R16, pick: L by 3 (42%)
10/16 H #279 Wilmington (1-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/23 H #371 Western Brown (1-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 21 (92%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
17.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
98% (bubble if 5-5), 66% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.90 ( 4.90-24.75) 98% in, 67% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Northwest (Cincy) (3-0) 19%
Lose: 12.70 ( 3.20-21.00) 88% in, 29% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Miami Trace (2-1) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
(27%) 10W: 20.50 (17.35-24.75) 100% in, 99% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#10), Miami Trace (2-1) 19%
(37%) 9W: 17.10 (13.80-22.90) 99% in, 84% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-out), Northwest (Cincy) (3-0) 21%
(23%) 8W: 14.30 (11.20-20.40) 99% in, 35% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Northwest (Cincy) (3-0) 21%
( 9%) 7W: 11.92 ( 9.10-16.30) 94% in, 6% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Indian Hill (2-1) 17%
( 3%) 6W: 9.85 ( 6.90-13.85) 75% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Indian Hill (2-1) 26%
( 1%) 5W: 7.95 ( 5.65-10.65) 39% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(27%) WWWWWWW: 20.50 (17.35-24.75) 100% in, 99% home, 6% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#10), Miami Trace (2-1) 19%
( 3%) WWWWWWL: 17.40 (14.10-20.45) 99% in, 80% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-out), Western Brown (1-2) 19%
(24%) WWWWLWW: 17.10 (13.80-21.85) 100% in, 85% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#12), Northwest (Cincy) (3-0) 22%
( 9%) WWWWWLW: 16.90 (14.20-20.55) 100% in, 80% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Northwest (Cincy) (3-0) 22%
( 5%) WWWWLWL: 14.60 (11.20-20.40) 99% in, 39% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Hughes (3-0) 20%
(13%) WWWWLLW: 14.15 (11.65-17.80) 99% in, 31% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Northwest (Cincy) (3-0) 23%
( 5%) WWWWLLL: 11.65 ( 9.50-15.65) 93% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Indian Hill (2-1) 19%
( 1%) WLWWLLL: 9.18 ( 6.90-12.05) 66% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), Indian Hill (2-1) 31%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 118.2, #236, D3 #44), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 66% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye, proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 116.6, #242, D3 #41), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 57% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye, proj. #9 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 113.1, #263, D3 #52), 85% (bubble if 6-4), 46% home (maybe if 8-2), 6% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #10 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 100.6, #362, D3 #68), 70% (bubble if 5-5), 43% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 109.9