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Rankings
#10 of 101 in Division 4
#3 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #50 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #78 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #336 Waynesville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 27 (89%)
08/28 H #63 Coldwater (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 11 (28%)
09/04 H #104 Tri-Valley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/11 A #550 Blanchester (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/18 A #370 Monroe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 28 (96%)
09/25 A #416 New Richmond (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/02 H #333 Wilmington (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/09 H #362 Goshen (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/16 A #392 Western Brown (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/23 H #379 Batavia (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
20.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
90% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 6-4), 47% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.65 ( 0.90-36.65) 93% in, 82% home, 52% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 55%
Lose: 13.85 ( 0.00-31.75) 66% in, 43% home, 13% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 21%
Based on eventual number of wins
(16%) 10W: 27.65 (18.20-36.65) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 96%
(24%) 9W: 24.35 (15.25-34.05) 100% in, 99% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 81%
(23%) 8W: 20.80 (12.20-30.05) 99% in, 96% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 45%
(15%) 7W: 17.35 ( 9.30-25.65) 99% in, 75% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 13%
( 9%) 6W: 14.25 ( 7.40-22.95) 87% in, 35% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 7%
( 6%) 5W: 11.10 ( 5.00-19.05) 54% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
( 3%) 4W: 8.45 ( 3.40-14.10) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Meadowdale (0-0) 10%
( 2%) 3W: 5.90 ( 1.90-12.10) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 1%) 2W: 4.00 ( 0.95- 8.80) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Taylor (0-0) 3%
Dunbar (0-0) 3%
Meadowdale (0-0) 3%
North College Hill (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 11%
Taft (0-0) 11%
London (0-0) 10%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 10%
Valley View (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 57.0, #617, D4 #94), 22% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 132.7