Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#48 of 101 in Division 4
#10 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #45 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #99 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #376 Northwest (Cincy) (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 3 (55%)
08/28 H #209 Miami Trace (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 14 (24%)
09/04 A #395 Mount Healthy (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 5 (61%)
09/11 H #299 Ross (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/18 H #319 Chillicothe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/25 A #392 Western Brown (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 5 (62%)
10/02 A #123 Clinton-Massie (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/09 H #379 Batavia (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/16 A #362 Goshen (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/23 H #416 New Richmond (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
10.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#10 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
46% (bubble if 5-5), 29% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.75 ( 0.55-35.60) 66% in, 44% home, 20% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 30%
Lose: 5.40 ( 0.00-30.15) 23% in, 10% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 28.05 (21.05-35.60) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 7%) 9W: 23.95 (17.15-31.40) 100% in, 99% home, 73% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#12), bye 73%
(10%) 8W: 20.20 (13.30-28.95) 99% in, 91% home, 29% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 29%
(11%) 7W: 16.85 (10.60-25.05) 97% in, 60% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Washington (0-0) 6%
(11%) 6W: 13.70 ( 7.35-21.40) 80% in, 22% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
(11%) 5W: 10.80 ( 5.10-18.20) 44% in, 5% home, proj. out (#5-out), Wyoming (0-0) 10%
(12%) 4W: 8.15 ( 3.30-15.05) 14% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Wyoming (0-0) 11%
(11%) 3W: 5.80 ( 2.05-12.55) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(10%) 2W: 3.60 ( 1.05- 9.70) out, proj. out
( 9%) 1W: 1.55 ( 0.50- 5.50) out, proj. out
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 5%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 5%
Meadowdale (0-0) 5%
Washington (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 15%
Taft (0-0) 13%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
Wyoming (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 100.2, #366, D4 #55), 48% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 97.7