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Rankings
#48 of 101 in Division 4
#10 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #45 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #99 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #376 Northwest (Cincy) (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 3 (55%)
08/28 H #209 Miami Trace (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 14 (24%)
09/04 A #395 Mount Healthy (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 5 (61%)
09/11 H #299 Ross (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/18 H #319 Chillicothe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/25 A #392 Western Brown (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 5 (62%)
10/02 A #123 Clinton-Massie (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/09 H #379 Batavia (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/16 A #362 Goshen (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/23 H #416 New Richmond (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
10.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
47% (bubble if 5-5), 29% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.85 ( 0.55-36.85) 66% in, 45% home, 20% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 31%
Lose: 5.50 ( 0.00-30.10) 23% in, 10% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 10W: 28.00 (21.20-36.85) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 7%) 9W: 23.98 (15.60-31.55) 100% in, 99% home, 74% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 74%
(10%) 8W: 20.20 (12.45-27.90) 99% in, 92% home, 30% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 30%
(11%) 7W: 16.75 ( 9.60-25.85) 97% in, 60% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Wyoming (0-0) 7%
(12%) 6W: 13.65 ( 7.40-22.40) 80% in, 25% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
(11%) 5W: 10.90 ( 5.25-19.25) 47% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Clinton-Massie (0-0) 9%
(11%) 4W: 8.15 ( 3.20-15.05) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
(11%) 3W: 5.80 ( 2.10-14.10) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(10%) 2W: 3.65 ( 1.05- 9.10) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 9%) 1W: 1.55 ( 0.50- 5.50) out, proj. out
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 5%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 5%
Kenton Ridge (0-0) 5%
Dunbar (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 14%
Taft (0-0) 12%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Valley View (0-0) 10%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 100.3, #366, D4 #55), 47% (bubble if 5-5), 25% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 97.7