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Rankings
#42 of 80 in Division 1
#10 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #69 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #51 in D1 (-153 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 33-28 A #130 Teays Valley (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 5 (59%), perf. rating 143
08/28 L 48-47 H #166 Grove City (2-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 5 (40%), perf. rating 123
09/04 W 40-7 A #524 Central Crossing (0-3) D1 R2, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 127
09/11 H #41 Worthington Kilbourne (3-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 23 (9%)
09/18 H #652 East Technical (0-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/25 H #361 Dublin Scioto (1-2) D1 R2, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/02 H #121 Westerville North (2-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/09 A #226 Westerville South (1-2) D1 R3, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/16 H #188 Delaware Hayes (2-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/23 A #16 Big Walnut (3-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 35 (1%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
13.19 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#9 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
91% (bubble if 4-6), 39% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.02 (10.60-30.65) 99% in, 93% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 41%
Lose: 12.58 ( 3.09-25.97) 90% in, 33% home, 2% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Grove City (2-1) 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 8W: 22.60 (19.08-27.45) 100% home, 64% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 64%
(26%) 7W: 17.16 (13.33-22.92) 100% in, 86% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#11), Grove City (2-1) 16%
(33%) 6W: 13.19 ( 8.75-19.77) 99% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Grove City (2-1) 21%
(23%) 5W: 10.09 ( 5.60-16.31) 90% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 18%
(10%) 4W: 7.55 ( 4.24-15.00) 52% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 22%
( 2%) 3W: 6.19 ( 3.53-11.39) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWWWWWW: 22.70 (19.13-25.97) 100% home, 64% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 64%
(22%) LWWWWWL: 16.64 (13.33-21.08) 100% in, 84% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#11), Grove City (2-1) 17%
( 6%) LWWWWLL: 13.34 ( 9.52-18.04) 99% in, 29% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Grove City (2-1) 22%
(19%) LWWLWWL: 12.68 ( 8.75-16.91) 99% in, 23% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Grove City (2-1) 20%
( 9%) LWWLLWL: 10.55 ( 6.67-14.53) 91% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 18%
( 9%) LWWLWLL: 9.53 ( 5.60-13.46) 87% in, 2% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 20%
( 8%) LWWLLLL: 7.50 ( 4.24-11.33) 51% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 22%
( 1%) LWLLLLL: 6.14 ( 3.53- 8.79) 13% in, proj. out (#10-out), Hilliard Bradley (2-1) 33%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 131.7, #138, D1 #42), 91% (bubble if 4-6), 39% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 137.0, #107, D1 #36), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 70% home (maybe if 6-4), 21% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 132.6, #138, D1 #47), 82% (bubble if 4-6), 55% home (maybe if 6-4), 25% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 131.7, #140, D1 #45), 75% (bubble if 4-6), 52% home (maybe if 6-4), 24% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 128.6