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Rankings
#45 of 80 in Division 1
#11 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #75 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #38 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #173 Teays Valley (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 5 (59%)
08/28 H #112 Grove City (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 3 (44%)
09/04 A #469 Central Crossing (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 34 (97%)
09/11 H #150 Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 3 (56%)
09/18 H #628 East Technical (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/25 H #227 Dublin Scioto (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 17 (86%)
10/02 H #165 Westerville North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/09 A #132 Westerville South (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/16 H #249 Delaware Hayes (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/23 A #18 Big Walnut (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 32 (2%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
14.46 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#6 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
75% (bubble if 4-6), 52% home (maybe if 6-4), 25% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.63 ( 0.60-39.62) 90% in, 69% home, 36% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 41%
Lose: 9.49 ( 0.00-34.78) 54% in, 27% home, 8% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 14%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 10W: 31.45 (23.85-39.62) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(11%) 9W: 26.26 (16.06-35.91) 100% in, 99% home, 88% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 88%
(15%) 8W: 21.84 (13.47-31.17) 99% in, 98% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 54%
(15%) 7W: 17.92 (10.17-26.80) 99% in, 85% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 17%
(15%) 6W: 14.46 ( 7.07-23.75) 96% in, 49% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(14%) 5W: 10.85 ( 4.38-20.65) 76% in, 13% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
(11%) 4W: 8.11 ( 3.06-16.99) 36% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
( 9%) 3W: 5.37 ( 1.80-13.28) 7% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
( 5%) 2W: 3.14 ( 1.20- 8.70) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 1W: 1.67 ( 0.55- 4.17) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 7%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 5%
Hilliard Bradley (0-0) 4%
Grove City (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 11%
Springfield (0-0) 10%
Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 9%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 131.7, #140, D1 #45), 75% (bubble if 4-6), 52% home (maybe if 6-4), 25% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 128.6