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Rankings
#45 of 79 in Division 1
#10 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #72 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #45 in D1 (-80 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 33-28 A #186 Teays Valley (1-6) D2 R7, pick: W by 5 (59%), perf. rating 134
08/28 L 48-47 H #138 Grove City (4-3) D1 R2, pick: L by 5 (40%), perf. rating 129
09/04 W 40-7 A #415 Central Crossing (0-7) D1 R2, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 144
09/11 L 49-20 H #34 Worthington Kilbourne (6-1) D1 R3, pick: L by 23 (9%), perf. rating 115
09/18 W 48-0 H #626 East Technical (0-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 112
09/25 W 49-14 H #340 Dublin Scioto (1-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 26 (95%), perf. rating 154
10/02 W 22-12 H #135 Westerville North (4-3) D1 R3, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 146
10/09 A #179 Westerville South (3-4) D1 R3, pick: W by 7 (68%)
10/16 H #233 Delaware Hayes (2-5) D1 R3, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/23 A #15 Big Walnut (7-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
14.76 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#7 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
98% (bubble if 5-5), 58% home (likely needs 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.40 (10.64-22.71) 99% in, 80% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Miamisburg (4-3) 22%
Lose: 11.76 ( 8.00-20.07) 95% in, 14% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Grove City (4-3) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 8W: 21.18 (20.00-22.71) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#6), bye 82%
(61%) 7W: 14.76 (12.62-20.07) 100% in, 85% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Miamisburg (4-3) 23%
(32%) 6W: 11.76 ( 9.98-16.92) 99% in, 17% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Grove City (4-3) 21%
( 6%) 5W: 9.28 ( 8.00-11.83) 77% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Hilliard Darby (4-3) 35%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWW: 21.18 (20.00-22.71) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#6), bye 82%
(61%) WWL: 14.56 (12.62-17.41) 100% in, 85% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#12), Miamisburg (4-3) 23%
( 6%) WLL: 12.07 (10.64-14.47) 99% in, 20% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Grove City (4-3) 22%
(26%) LWL: 11.76 ( 9.98-14.31) 99% in, 16% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), Grove City (4-3) 21%
( 6%) LLL: 9.28 ( 8.00-11.83) 77% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Hilliard Darby (4-3) 35%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 134.4, #127, D1 #45), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 58% home (likely needs 7-3), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 129.5, #154, D1 #50), 79% (bubble if 5-5), 13% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 5 (3-2, 126.9, #175, D1 #53), 75% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 4 (2-2, 129.2, #154, D1 #49), 77% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 131.7, #138, D1 #42), 91% (bubble if 4-6), 39% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 137.0, #107, D1 #36), 95% (bubble if 4-6), 70% home (maybe if 6-4), 21% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 132.6, #138, D1 #47), 82% (bubble if 4-6), 55% home (maybe if 6-4), 25% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 131.7, #140, D1 #45), 75% (bubble if 4-6), 52% home (maybe if 6-4), 24% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 6-4
Last season 128.6