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Rankings
#18 of 79 in Division 1
#5 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #74 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #22 in D1 (+134 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 49-7 H #289 Watkins Memorial (4-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 14 (74%), perf. rating 171
08/28 W 52-20 H #326 Thomas Worthington (2-5) D1 R3, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 151
09/04 W 56-35 A #83 Canal Winchester (4-3) D2 R7, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 175
09/11 W 49-20 A #127 Westland (5-2) D1 R2, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 180
09/18 W 49-20 H #340 Dublin Scioto (1-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 43 (99%), perf. rating 145
09/25 W 38-7 H #233 Delaware Hayes (2-5) D1 R3, pick: W by 32 (98%), perf. rating 162
10/02 L 35-28 A #15 Big Walnut (7-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 20 (10%), perf. rating 166
10/09 H #432 KIPP Columbus (2-5) D3 R11, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/16 H #135 Westerville North (4-3) D1 R3, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 A #179 Westerville South (3-4) D1 R3, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
27.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 75% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.55 (19.90-30.40) 100% in, 99% home, 75% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#9), bye 75%
Lose: 25.50 (21.05-27.75) 100% home, 34% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), bye 34%
Based on eventual number of wins
(92%) 9W: 27.60 (24.65-30.40) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 80%
( 8%) 8W: 24.30 (21.35-27.75) 100% home, 16% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), Groveport Madison (5-2) 21%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(92%) WWW: 27.60 (24.65-30.40) 100% home, 80% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 80%
( 3%) WWL: 24.50 (22.65-26.95) 100% home, 18% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#7), Westerville Central (4-3) 22%
( 4%) WLW: 23.60 (21.35-26.05) 100% home, 10% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#8), Groveport Madison (5-2) 30%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 160.6, #34, D1 #18), appears locked in and likely home, 75% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 158.1, #38, D1 #18), appears locked in and likely home, 85% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 157.9, #42, D1 #20), appears locked in and likely home, 86% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 160.4, #33, D1 #18), likely in and likely home, 86% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 157.5, #41, D1 #21), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 53% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 145.9, #71, D1 #27), 90% (bubble if 5-5), 69% home (maybe if 7-3), 28% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 143.8, #77, D1 #30), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 61% home (maybe if 7-3), 25% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 130.2, #150, D1 #47), 71% (bubble if 4-6), 43% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 134.8