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Rankings
#47 of 80 in Division 1
#11 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #71 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #59 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #220 Watkins Memorial (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 14 (74%)
08/28 H #305 Thomas Worthington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 24 (89%)
09/04 A #75 Canal Winchester (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 17 (17%)
09/11 A #140 Westland (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 3 (43%)
09/18 H #227 Dublin Scioto (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 16 (84%)
09/25 H #249 Delaware Hayes (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 18 (87%)
10/02 A #18 Big Walnut (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/09 H #402 KIPP Columbus (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/16 H #165 Westerville North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/23 A #132 Westerville South (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 6 (35%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
15.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
70% (bubble if 4-6), 43% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.60 ( 0.60-41.40) 81% in, 53% home, 19% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 24%
Lose: 8.05 ( 0.00-35.85) 39% in, 15% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 33.55 (25.80-41.40) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 8%) 9W: 28.40 (18.60-38.65) 100% in, 99% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 81%
(13%) 8W: 23.75 (14.60-34.00) 100% in, 98% home, 37% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 37%
(16%) 7W: 19.75 (10.55-30.60) 99% in, 80% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Newark (0-0) 8%
(16%) 6W: 15.85 ( 9.05-26.00) 97% in, 38% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
(14%) 5W: 12.40 ( 5.90-23.15) 76% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
(12%) 4W: 9.35 ( 3.60-17.90) 36% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
( 9%) 3W: 6.60 ( 2.30-14.95) 8% in, proj. out (#9-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 13%
( 6%) 2W: 4.03 ( 1.20-10.45) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.75 ( 0.55- 6.30) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 7%
Olentangy (0-0) 6%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 6%
Newark (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 12%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 12%
Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 130.2, #150, D1 #47), 70% (bubble if 4-6), 43% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 134.8