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Rankings
#21 of 80 in Division 1
#7 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #75 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #17 in D1 (+193 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 49-7 H #244 Watkins Memorial (1-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 14 (74%), perf. rating 177
08/28 W 52-20 H #278 Thomas Worthington (2-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 30 (93%), perf. rating 158
09/04 W 56-35 A #107 Canal Winchester (1-2) D2 R7, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 170
09/11 A #138 Westland (2-1) D1 R2, pick: W by 23 (91%)
09/18 H #361 Dublin Scioto (1-2) D1 R2, pick: W by 41 (99%)
09/25 H #188 Delaware Hayes (2-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 30 (97%)
10/02 A #16 Big Walnut (3-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/09 H #486 KIPP Columbus (0-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/16 H #121 Westerville North (2-1) D1 R3, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 A #226 Westerville South (1-2) D1 R3, pick: W by 30 (98%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
27.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 53% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 27.30 (13.45-39.50) 99% in, 99% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 57%
Lose: 21.55 (10.20-33.85) 99% in, 84% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#2-out), bye 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
(12%) 10W: 33.50 (28.10-39.50) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(62%) 9W: 27.40 (22.35-35.05) 100% home, 61% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 61%
(20%) 8W: 23.40 (17.20-31.10) 100% in, 98% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 16%
( 5%) 7W: 19.75 (13.35-26.90) 100% in, 78% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), St Charles (3-0) 14%
( 1%) 6W: 16.35 (11.65-23.60) 95% in, 31% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), St Charles (3-0) 14%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(12%) WWWWWWW: 33.50 (28.10-39.50) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 1%) WWWWWLW: 29.05 (24.75-33.20) 100% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 66%
(61%) WWWLWWW: 27.40 (22.35-35.05) 100% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 60%
( 3%) WWWLWWL: 24.45 (19.55-30.15) 100% in, 99% home, 25% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#10), bye 25%
( 2%) WWLLWWW: 23.60 (17.95-28.20) 100% in, 98% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), bye 14%
( 8%) WWWLWLW: 23.05 (17.20-30.55) 100% in, 97% home, 10% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), St Charles (3-0) 12%
( 5%) LWWLWWW: 22.70 (17.50-27.50) 100% in, 99% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), bye 14%
( 2%) LWWLWLW: 18.83 (13.35-25.45) 100% in, 72% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), St Charles (3-0) 19%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 157.5, #41, D1 #21), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 6-4), 53% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 145.9, #71, D1 #27), 90% (bubble if 5-5), 69% home (maybe if 7-3), 28% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 143.8, #77, D1 #30), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 61% home (maybe if 7-3), 25% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 130.2, #150, D1 #47), 71% (bubble if 4-6), 43% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #11 at 6-4
Last season 134.8