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Rankings
#64 of 80 in Division 1
#17 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #66 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #40 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #205 Buckeye Valley (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 7 (37%)
08/28 H #244 Lancaster (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/04 A #305 Thomas Worthington (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 6 (63%)
09/11 A #18 Big Walnut (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 40 (1%)
09/18 H #165 Westerville North (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 11 (25%)
09/25 A #150 Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 18 (13%)
10/02 H #132 Westerville South (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/09 H #227 Dublin Scioto (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/16 A #140 Westland (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/23 H #38 Villa Angela-St Joseph (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 32 (2%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
6.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
34% (bubble if 4-6), 15% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.70 ( 0.50-40.45) 60% in, 31% home, 9% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 16%
Lose: 4.40 ( 0.00-34.90) 19% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 28.35 (21.25-38.00) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 82%
( 4%) 8W: 23.80 (15.55-31.85) 100% in, 97% home, 38% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 38%
( 6%) 7W: 19.65 (11.60-29.10) 99% in, 80% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 8%
( 9%) 6W: 15.90 ( 8.60-24.10) 95% in, 38% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
(11%) 5W: 12.45 ( 5.50-21.60) 74% in, 8% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 10%
(13%) 4W: 9.25 ( 3.05-17.05) 31% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
(14%) 3W: 6.45 ( 1.80-14.00) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
(16%) 2W: 3.85 ( 1.15-10.40) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(14%) 1W: 1.85 ( 0.50- 6.30) out, proj. out
(11%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 8%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 7%
Olentangy (0-0) 6%
Westerville South (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 16%
Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 12%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 114.4, #249, D1 #64), 34% (bubble if 4-6), 15% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 112.2