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Rankings
#50 of 80 in Division 1
#12 of 20 in Region 3
Strength of schedule #46 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #57 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #171 Marysville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 4 (56%)
08/28 H #3 Olentangy Orange (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 38 (3%)
09/04 A #229 Westerville Central (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 9 (69%)
09/11 H #10 St Xavier (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 36 (2%)
09/18 A #249 Delaware Hayes (0-0) D1 R3, pick: W by 11 (75%)
09/25 H #132 Westerville South (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 5 (38%)
10/02 A #140 Westland (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/09 H #18 Big Walnut (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 32 (2%)
10/16 A #150 Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/23 H #227 Dublin Scioto (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
10.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R3 playoffs
Playoff chances now
49% (bubble if 4-6), 25% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.00 ( 0.65-43.25) 67% in, 37% home, 11% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 16%
Lose: 5.60 ( 0.00-36.70) 26% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 31.17 (23.55-39.70) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 96%
( 4%) 8W: 27.15 (18.85-35.10) 100% in, 99% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 72%
( 9%) 7W: 22.10 (11.40-29.85) 100% in, 94% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#12), bye 21%
(13%) 6W: 17.80 (10.20-27.00) 99% in, 61% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 8%
(15%) 5W: 13.90 ( 5.45-22.60) 87% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 9%
(15%) 4W: 10.20 ( 3.85-18.20) 48% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Groveport Madison (0-0) 11%
(15%) 3W: 7.05 ( 2.45-14.00) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Pickerington Central (0-0) 11%
(13%) 2W: 4.40 ( 1.30-10.70) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(10%) 1W: 1.90 ( 0.60- 6.50) out, proj. out
( 5%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Groveport Madison (0-0) 8%
Worthington Kilbourne (0-0) 7%
Olentangy (0-0) 7%
Olentangy Berlin (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Olentangy Orange (0-0) 17%
Pickerington North (0-0) 12%
Pickerington Central (0-0) 12%
Upper Arlington (0-0) 11%
Olentangy Liberty (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 127.4, #165, D1 #50), 49% (bubble if 4-6), 25% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 124.5