Drew Pasteur's Ohio Fantastic 50

Ohio High School Football Rankings and Predictions

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Scores & schedules courtesy of Joe Eitel

#673 Lakewood (Hebron) Lancers (0-4) 35.9

Updated Sat 13-Sep-2025 10:57 PM
Week 4 complete

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Rankings
#104 of 105 in Division 4
#28 of 28 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #92 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #105 in D4 (-962 WP+)

Schedule and results
08/21 L 42-0 A #404 West Muskingum (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 48 (1%), perf. rating 35
08/29 L 41-7 H #474 Maysville (2-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 29 (7%), perf. rating 30
09/05 L 35-13 A #628 Berne Union (3-1) D6 R23, pick: W by 10 (71%), perf. rating 24
09/12 L 41-7 H #490 Liberty Union (3-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 33 (2%), perf. rating 28
09/19 A #397 Licking Heights (0-4) D2 R7, pick: L by 42 (1%)
09/26 A #423 Utica (1-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/03 H #254 Heath (1-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/10 H #219 Johnstown (2-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/17 H #570 Newark Catholic (1-3) D7 R27, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/24 A #454 Northridge (1-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 37 (1%)

Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R15 playoffs

Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention

Depending on the next game
Win: 1.15 ( 0.60- 4.65) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00- 7.35) out, proj. out

Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 1W: 1.15 ( 0.60- 3.80) out, proj. out
(90%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out

Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLLLLW: 1.75 ( 0.85- 2.70) out
( 4%) LLLLWL: 0.75 ( 0.75- 1.70) out
(90%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out

Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 35.9, #673, D4 #104), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 36.2, #672, D4 #104), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 49.8, #641, D4 #102), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 58.6, #612, D4 #97), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 55.8, #621, D4 #100), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 48.8