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Rankings
#77 of 104 in Division 3
#18 of 26 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #82 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #92 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #379 Batavia (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 8 (36%)
08/28 H #395 Mount Healthy (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 2 (46%)
09/03 H #312 Roger Bacon (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 11 (27%)
09/11 A #422 Purcell Marian (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 2 (44%)
09/18 A #617 Clark Montessori (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 28 (96%)
09/25 A #391 Aiken (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 7 (33%)
10/02 H #50 Taft (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 40 (1%)
10/09 A #648 Woodward (Cincy) (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/16 A #102 Withrow (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/23 H #519 Western Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
9.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R12 playoffs
Playoff chances now
46% (bubble if 5-5), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.90 ( 0.55-30.75) 75% in, 39% home, 7% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 9%
Lose: 6.55 ( 0.00-27.30) 29% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Unioto (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 24.42 (16.75-30.75) 100% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 79%
( 3%) 9W: 20.50 (14.15-27.80) 100% in, 97% home, 39% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 39%
( 8%) 8W: 17.30 ( 9.75-26.85) 99% in, 81% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 10%
(11%) 7W: 14.65 ( 7.40-23.50) 97% in, 50% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Goshen (0-0) 9%
(13%) 6W: 12.15 ( 6.10-19.70) 86% in, 19% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Unioto (0-0) 9%
(15%) 5W: 9.80 ( 4.55-16.15) 57% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Unioto (0-0) 11%
(15%) 4W: 7.45 ( 2.70-14.20) 22% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Unioto (0-0) 12%
(15%) 3W: 5.25 ( 1.55- 9.90) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Unioto (0-0) 16%
(11%) 2W: 3.25 ( 1.00- 8.55) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 6%) 1W: 1.50 ( 0.50- 4.35) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Goshen (0-0) 8%
Miami Trace (0-0) 8%
Unioto (0-0) 8%
Bellbrook (0-0) 7%
Archbishop Alter (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Tippecanoe (0-0) 22%
Indian Hill (0-0) 16%
Unioto (0-0) 10%
Archbishop McNicholas (0-0) 9%
Archbishop Alter (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 86.5, #460, D3 #81), 29% (bubble if 5-5), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 91.5