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Rankings
#84 of 101 in Division 4
#21 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #101 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #86 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/28 A #646 Ponitz Tech (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 22 (87%)
09/04 A #551 Bethel-Tate (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/11 H #458 Meadowdale (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 12 (24%)
09/18 H #519 Western Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 2 (45%)
09/24 A #575 Belmont (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 5 (62%)
10/02 A #564 Summit Country Day (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/09 H #617 Clark Montessori (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/16 H #453 Cincinnati Country Day (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/23 A #678 Norwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 32 (98%)
Regular season projections
5-4 record
10.45 Harbin points (divisor 88)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
50% (bubble if 5-4), 29% home (maybe if 7-2), 9% bye (maybe if 8-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.42 ( 0.61-30.68) 56% in, 33% home, 10% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 19%
Lose: 5.18 ( 0.00-26.55) 19% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 7%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 9W: 23.75 (17.16-30.68) 100% in, 99% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 73%
(12%) 8W: 20.07 (12.34-27.40) 99% in, 93% home, 28% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 28%
(14%) 7W: 16.67 (10.37-23.44) 97% in, 60% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Dunbar (0-0) 6%
(14%) 6W: 13.44 ( 7.31-20.89) 80% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 9%
(14%) 5W: 10.45 ( 5.21-16.87) 39% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Clinton-Massie (0-0) 9%
(13%) 4W: 7.73 ( 3.01-14.89) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Wyoming (0-0) 13%
(12%) 3W: 5.13 ( 1.61-11.50) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 9%) 2W: 3.04 ( 1.00- 8.04) out, proj. out
( 5%) 1W: 1.24 ( 0.39- 5.27) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 6%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 5%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 5%
Kenton Ridge (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 12%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 12%
London (0-0) 11%
Taft (0-0) 10%
Valley View (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 93.4, #416, D4 #62), 34% (bubble if 5-5), 17% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 76.6