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Rankings
#26 of 104 in Division 7
#8 of 26 in Region 28
Strength of schedule #73 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #83 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #564 Summit Country Day (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 17 (78%)
08/28 H #550 Blanchester (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 18 (82%)
09/04 H #519 Western Hills (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 13 (77%)
09/10 H #388 Cincinnati College Prep (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 8 (32%)
09/18 H #639 Clermont Northeastern (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 32 (98%)
09/25 A #685 New Miami (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/02 A #644 Miami Valley Christian (0-0) D6 R24, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/09 H #678 Norwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/16 A #538 North College Hill (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 12 (79%)
10/23 H #617 Clark Montessori (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
15.96 Harbin points (divisor 97)
#2 seed in R28 playoffs
Playoff chances now
95% (bubble if 4-6), 87% home (maybe if 5-5), 67% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.65 ( 0.45-30.06) 98% in, 94% home, 77% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 78%
Lose: 10.84 ( 0.00-25.28) 81% in, 62% home, 31% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 39%
Based on eventual number of wins
(19%) 10W: 22.23 (15.22-30.06) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(24%) 9W: 18.99 (12.86-25.75) 100% in, 99% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 98%
(20%) 8W: 15.96 (10.14-22.98) 100% in, 99% home, 83% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 83%
(14%) 7W: 13.35 ( 8.35-20.01) 100% in, 97% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 46%
(10%) 6W: 10.85 ( 6.31-16.83) 99% in, 80% home, 14% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 14%
( 6%) 5W: 8.53 ( 4.31-14.31) 92% in, 39% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), New Bremen (0-0) 9%
( 4%) 4W: 6.49 ( 2.83-11.29) 60% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), New Bremen (0-0) 9%
( 2%) 3W: 4.55 ( 1.76- 8.82) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 1%) 2W: 2.76 ( 0.85- 6.16) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 1W: 1.33 ( 0.35- 3.85) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Fort Recovery (0-0) 2%
Manchester (0-0) 2%
New Bremen (0-0) 2%
Minster (0-0) 2%
Most likely second round opponents
New Bremen (0-0) 12%
Minster (0-0) 12%
Fort Recovery (0-0) 9%
Lehman Catholic (0-0) 8%
Ansonia (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 115.7, #238, D7 #8), 55% (bubble if 5-5), 28% home (maybe if 6-4), 8% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 5-5
Last season 84.4