Region 20 home page
Region 20 projections
Region 20 playoff probabilities
Region 20 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 20 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#74 of 106 in Division 5
#17 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #96 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #69 in D5 (-320 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 30-26 H #602 Cincinnati Country Day (4-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 17 (22%), perf. rating 52
08/28 W 17-8 A #586 Clark Montessori (3-5) D4 R16, pick: W by 4 (58%), perf. rating 78
09/11 W 47-6 H #666 Norwood (1-7) D4 R16, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 95
09/18 W 47-7 A #581 Miami Valley Christian (5-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 125
09/25 W 38-36 H #449 St Bernard-Elmwood Pl. (6-1) D6 R24, pick: L by 3 (42%), perf. rating 89
10/02 L 43-3 H #227 North College Hill (7-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 25 (5%), perf. rating 57
10/09 L 17-16 A #581 Miami Valley Christian (5-3) D6 R24, pick: W by 21 (92%), perf. rating 64
10/17 A #689 Miller (1-7) D7 R27, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/23 A #189 Cinc. Hills Christian (7-1) D4 R16, pick: L by 35 (1%)
Regular season projections
5-4 record
13.29 Harbin points (divisor 89)
#5 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 12% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.29 (12.00-18.84) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), Preble Shawnee (6-2) 22%
Lose: 12.51 (12.11-17.50) 100% in, 99% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Preble Shawnee (6-2) 24%
Based on eventual number of wins
(98%) 5W: 13.29 (12.00-17.50) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#10), Preble Shawnee (6-2) 22%
( 1%) 4W: 12.51 (12.11-12.51) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Preble Shawnee (6-2) 24%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(98%) WL: 13.29 (12.00-14.24) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#10), Preble Shawnee (6-2) 22%
( 1%) LL: 12.51 (12.11-12.51) 100% in, 99% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Preble Shawnee (6-2) 24%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-2, 82.5, #490, D5 #73), appears locked in and likely home, 57% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #4 at 6-3
Week 6 (4-1, 84.6, #469, D5 #64), appears locked in and likely home, 43% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #5 at 6-3
Week 5 (3-1, 82.7, #482, D5 #68), 95% (bubble if 4-5), 63% home (maybe if 5-4), 21% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #7 at 5-4
Week 4 (2-1, 72.5, #538, D5 #79), 52% (bubble if 4-5), 31% home (maybe if 5-4), 9% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. out at 4-5
Week 3 (1-1, 73.4, #542, D5 #81), 72% (bubble if 4-5), 36% home (maybe if 5-4), 11% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. #7 at 5-4
Week 2 (1-1, 70.5, #560, D5 #82), 52% (bubble if 5-4), 27% home (maybe if 6-3), 8% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. out at 5-4
Week 1 (0-1, 72.3, #545, D5 #81), 50% (bubble if 5-4), 27% home (maybe if 6-3), 9% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #12 at 5-4
Week 0 (0-0, 68.8, #564, D5 #87), 53% (bubble if 5-4), 32% home (maybe if 6-3), 14% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #12 at 5-4
Last season 74.2