Region 22 home page
Region 22 projections
Region 22 playoff probabilities
Region 22 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 22 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#50 of 107 in Division 6
#17 of 26 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #9 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D6 (-222 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 29-26 H #570 Newark Catholic (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 26 (88%), perf. rating 70
08/29 L 23-16 H #327 Fort Recovery (2-2) D7 R28, pick: L by 8 (34%), perf. rating 93
09/05 L 50-20 A #299 Indian Lake (2-2) D5 R20, pick: L by 22 (11%), perf. rating 67
09/12 L 36-6 A #168 Lima Central Catholic (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 32 (3%), perf. rating 86
09/19 H #277 Crestview (Convoy) (3-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 23 (8%)
09/26 A #212 Columbus Grove (1-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/03 H #543 Spencerville (1-3) D6 R22, pick: W by 15 (83%)
10/11 A #538 Jefferson (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/17 H #123 Bluffton (4-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/24 A #372 Fort Loramie (0-4) D7 R28, pick: L by 16 (15%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.85 ( 2.80-12.20) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Lose: 3.15 ( 0.75-10.65) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 5W: 6.60 ( 5.20-10.40) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(18%) 4W: 4.60 ( 3.70- 8.15) out, proj. out
(44%) 3W: 3.20 ( 2.30- 6.90) out, proj. out
(26%) 2W: 2.05 ( 1.50- 5.75) out, proj. out
( 8%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.75- 3.20) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WLWWLW: 6.60 ( 6.00- 7.85) out
( 4%) WLWWLL: 5.50 ( 4.95- 7.45) out
(12%) LLWWLW: 4.30 ( 3.70- 6.25) out
(39%) LLWWLL: 3.20 ( 2.65- 5.15) out
( 2%) LLWLLW: 3.15 ( 2.30- 4.85) out
(17%) LLWLLL: 2.05 ( 1.55- 4.20) out
( 9%) LLLWLL: 2.00 ( 1.50- 3.80) out
( 8%) LLLLLL: 1.25 ( 0.75- 3.20) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (1-3, 85.5, #451, D6 #50), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (1-2, 86.6, #451, D6 #49), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 89.1, #441, D6 #46), 5% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 94.0, #412, D6 #41), 23% (bubble if 6-4), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 102.2, #341, D6 #24), 27% (bubble if 6-4), 12% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 101.3