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Rankings
#13 of 108 in Division 6
#6 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #15 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #10 in D6 (+210 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 49-0 A #599 Perry (Lima) (4-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 35 (95%), perf. rating 124
08/28 W 28-21 A #255 Fort Recovery (3-5) D7 R28, pick: L by 12 (27%), perf. rating 128
09/04 W 32-14 H #164 Indian Lake (5-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 20 (13%), perf. rating 152
09/11 L 35-13 A #91 Bluffton (7-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 21 (11%), perf. rating 110
09/18 L 55-14 H #58 Lima Central Catholic (8-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 22 (8%), perf. rating 86
09/25 W 41-0 A #435 Crestview (Convoy) (2-6) D6 R22, pick: W by 23 (93%), perf. rating 152
10/02 L 33-18 H #99 Columbus Grove (7-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 17 (14%), perf. rating 115
10/09 W 49-12 A #594 Spencerville (0-8) D6 R22, pick: W by 40 (99%), perf. rating 118
10/16 H #398 Jefferson (3-5) D7 R26, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/23 H #259 Fort Loramie (5-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 8 (70%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
13.30 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
90% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.90 (10.20-14.95) 92% in, 23% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Paulding (7-1) 38%
Lose: 10.95 ( 8.25-12.65) 46% in, proj. out (#9-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 35%
Based on eventual number of wins
(66%) 7W: 13.30 (12.10-14.95) 99% in, 33% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Paulding (7-1) 48%
(31%) 6W: 11.05 (10.20-12.65) 75% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 42%
( 2%) 5W: 9.10 ( 8.25- 9.90) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(66%) WW: 13.30 (12.10-14.95) 99% in, 33% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Paulding (7-1) 48%
( 3%) LW: 11.40 (10.50-12.65) 84% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 35%
(28%) WL: 11.05 (10.20-12.20) 74% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 43%
( 2%) LL: 9.10 ( 8.25- 9.90) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 119.3, #222, D6 #16), 74% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home, proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 119.0, #228, D6 #16), 86% (bubble if 6-4), 14% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 5 (3-2, 116.0, #249, D6 #19), 79% (bubble if 6-4), 20% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 4 (3-1, 119.7, #221, D6 #15), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 119.1, #231, D6 #18), 78% (bubble if 6-4), 27% home (maybe if 7-3), 7% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #9 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 107.4, #312, D6 #28), 21% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 97.1, #389, D6 #39), 11% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 93.4, #414, D6 #46), 12% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 91.5