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Rankings
#46 of 107 in Division 6
#18 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #15 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #29 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #650 Perry (Lima) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 35 (95%)
08/28 A #238 Fort Recovery (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 23 (12%)
09/04 H #195 Indian Lake (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 25 (8%)
09/11 A #145 Bluffton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 32 (3%)
09/18 H #178 Lima Central Catholic (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 26 (5%)
09/25 A #327 Crestview (Convoy) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 12 (22%)
10/02 H #80 Columbus Grove (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/09 A #496 Spencerville (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/16 H #606 Jefferson (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 29 (97%)
10/23 H #316 Fort Loramie (0-0) D7 R28, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
4.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
12% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.45 ( 0.40-24.20) 12% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Lose: 1.15 ( 0.00-15.85) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 17.35 (12.40-22.70) 100% in, 99% home, 48% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 48%
( 2%) 8W: 14.42 (10.40-20.85) 99% in, 73% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 10%
( 5%) 7W: 11.85 ( 6.50-17.25) 84% in, 25% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Patrick Henry (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 6W: 9.20 ( 5.35-15.75) 35% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Woodmore (0-0) 9%
(14%) 5W: 6.85 ( 3.20-12.25) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Patrick Henry (0-0) 11%
(21%) 4W: 4.85 ( 2.25-10.40) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(24%) 3W: 3.15 ( 1.20- 9.20) out, proj. out
(17%) 2W: 1.85 ( 0.75- 7.30) out, proj. out
( 6%) 1W: 1.10 ( 0.35- 4.75) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Woodmore (0-0) 7%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 7%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 7%
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 24%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 15%
Carey (0-0) 7%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 7%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 93.4, #414, D6 #46), 12% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 91.5