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Rankings
#12 of 105 in Division 5
#6 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #31 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #30 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #301 Benjamin Logan (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 22 (84%)
08/28 A #224 Edison (Milan) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 12 (73%)
09/04 H #583 Bowsher (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 45 (99%)
09/11 H #414 Allen East (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 32 (97%)
09/18 A #606 Jefferson (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 45 (99%)
09/25 H #496 Spencerville (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/02 H #178 Lima Central Catholic (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/09 A #327 Crestview (Convoy) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 24 (94%)
10/16 A #316 Fort Loramie (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/23 H #80 Columbus Grove (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 11 (23%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
15.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#9 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
71% (bubble if 7-3), 42% home (maybe if 8-2), 13% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.90 ( 2.45-29.20) 78% in, 48% home, 15% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 19%
Lose: 10.10 ( 0.00-23.35) 32% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Margaretta (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
(17%) 10W: 21.80 (15.20-29.20) 99% in, 96% home, 52% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 52%
(25%) 9W: 18.60 (11.45-25.75) 98% in, 71% home, 14% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 15%
(22%) 8W: 15.70 ( 9.40-22.15) 87% in, 32% home, 2% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), Margaretta (0-0) 7%
(15%) 7W: 13.00 ( 7.65-19.50) 54% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Margaretta (0-0) 8%
(10%) 6W: 10.50 ( 5.55-18.60) 22% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Norwayne (0-0) 8%
( 6%) 5W: 8.15 ( 4.20-14.45) 5% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 3%) 4W: 6.15 ( 2.55-12.60) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 3W: 4.45 ( 1.70- 9.15) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.50 ( 0.95- 6.90) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Margaretta (0-0) 6%
Norwayne (0-0) 5%
Eastwood (0-0) 5%
Archbold (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 13%
Triway (0-0) 9%
Galion (0-0) 9%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 132.1, #138, D5 #11), 62% (bubble if 6-4), 45% home (maybe if 7-3), 27% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 7-3
Last season 127.3