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Rankings
#4 of 107 in Division 6
#1 of 26 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #12 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #8 in D6 (+269 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 33-30 H #291 Benjamin Logan (3-5) D4 R14, pick: W by 43 (98%), perf. rating 112
08/29 W 48-14 H #268 Pandora-Gilboa (5-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 3 (44%), perf. rating 163
09/05 W 54-21 A #563 Bowsher (2-7) D2 R6, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 121
09/12 W 49-6 H #570 Jefferson (1-7) D7 R26, pick: W by 46 (99%), perf. rating 129
09/19 W 42-7 A #566 Spencerville (1-7) D6 R22, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 123
09/27 L 31-21 A #158 Lima Central Catholic (8-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 5 (62%), perf. rating 117
10/03 W 49-34 H #324 Crestview (Convoy) (5-3) D6 R22, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 127
10/10 W 42-9 H #390 Fort Loramie (1-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 30 (98%), perf. rating 144
10/17 A #378 Allen East (3-5) D6 R22, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/24 A #146 Columbus Grove (5-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 3 (42%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
15.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 42% bye (likely needs 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.85 (14.20-18.80) 100% in, 99% home, 44% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#9), bye 44%
Lose: 13.90 (12.85-16.95) 100% in, 84% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#4-#10), W. Reserve (Collins) (6-2) 30%
Based on eventual number of wins
(42%) 9W: 18.00 (16.50-18.80) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 99%
(55%) 8W: 15.70 (14.20-16.95) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Woodmore (6-2) 33%
( 3%) 7W: 13.85 (12.85-14.70) 100% in, 78% home, proj. #8 (#5-#10), W. Reserve (Collins) (6-2) 41%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(42%) WW: 18.00 (16.50-18.80) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#5), bye 99%
(53%) WL: 15.65 (14.20-16.20) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Woodmore (6-2) 34%
( 3%) LL: 13.85 (12.85-14.70) 100% in, 78% home, proj. #8 (#5-#10), W. Reserve (Collins) (6-2) 41%
Weekly summary info
Week 8 (7-1, 131.4, #147, D6 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 43% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 7 (6-1, 130.9, #155, D6 #4), appears locked in and likely home, 56% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 130.5, #155, D6 #4), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 7-3), 52% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 5 (5-0, 134.6, #135, D6 #4), likely in and likely home, 76% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 136.7, #123, D6 #2), likely in and likely home, 85% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 140.9, #97, D6 #2), appears locked in and likely home, 94% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 140.1, #94, D6 #3), likely in and likely home, 89% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 122.8, #192, D6 #9), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 67% home (maybe if 6-4), 40% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 142.5, #93, D6 #3), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 85% home (maybe if 7-3), 56% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 143.3