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Rankings
#9 of 107 in Division 6
#4 of 26 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #11 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #7 in D6 (+480 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 33-30 H #364 Benjamin Logan (0-1) D4 R14, pick: W by 43 (98%), perf. rating 102
08/29 H #163 Pandora-Gilboa (1-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 3 (44%)
09/05 A #591 Bowsher (0-1) D2 R6, pick: W by 40 (99%)
09/12 H #607 Jefferson (0-1) D7 R26, pick: W by 44 (99%)
09/19 A #492 Spencerville (0-1) D6 R22, pick: W by 31 (97%)
09/27 A #227 Lima Central Catholic (1-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 3 (58%)
10/03 H #288 Crestview (Convoy) (1-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/10 H #234 Fort Loramie (0-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/17 A #412 Allen East (1-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/24 A #117 Columbus Grove (0-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 17 (13%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
86% (bubble if 5-5), 67% home (maybe if 6-4), 40% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.45 ( 5.00-25.75) 98% in, 91% home, 68% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 69%
Lose: 11.25 ( 1.05-22.15) 76% in, 48% home, 18% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 24%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 10W: 21.33 (17.15-25.75) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(18%) 9W: 18.60 (14.15-23.05) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 92%
(20%) 8W: 15.85 (11.45-20.45) 100% in, 98% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 60%
(19%) 7W: 12.95 ( 8.60-18.25) 99% in, 74% home, 13% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 13%
(16%) 6W: 10.60 ( 6.05-16.70) 86% in, 33% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (1-0) 9%
(10%) 5W: 8.45 ( 4.25-13.50) 49% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Patrick Henry (1-0) 9%
( 5%) 4W: 6.65 ( 3.30-10.00) 13% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
Weekly summary info
Week 1 (1-0, 122.8, #192, D6 #9), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 67% home (maybe if 6-4), 40% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 142.5, #93, D6 #3), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 85% home (maybe if 7-3), 56% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Last season 143.3