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Rankings
#3 of 106 in Division 6
#1 of 27 in Region 22
Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) W 50-3 A #514 Benjamin Logan (0-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 39 (96%), perf. rating 143
08/30 (week 2) W 42-0 A #267 Pandora-Gilboa (2-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 14 (75%), perf. rating 176
09/06 (week 3) W 63-7 H #548 Ayersville (0-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 131
09/14 (week 4) W 52-7 A #530 Jefferson (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 47 (99%), perf. rating 139
09/20 (week 5) H #450 Spencerville (3-1) D6 R22, pick: W by 40 (99%)
09/27 (week 6) H #194 Lima Central Catholic (3-1) D7 R26, pick: W by 21 (90%)
10/05 (week 7) A #319 Crestview (Convoy) (2-2) D6 R22, pick: W by 31 (97%)
10/11 (week 8) A #306 Fort Loramie (2-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 30 (96%)
10/18 (week 9) H #352 Allen East (2-2) D6 R22, pick: W by 35 (98%)
10/25 (week 10) H #52 Columbus Grove (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 7 (33%)
Strength of schedule
(based on all regular season games)
#10 of 106 in Division 6
Regular season projections
9-1 record
17.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 93% twice (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.75 (10.65-23.80) 100% in, 99% home, 93% twice, proj. #3 (#1-#10), Van Buren (2-2) 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
(30%) 10W: 21.15 (19.20-23.80) 100% home twice, proj. #2 (#1-#3), Van Buren (2-2) 14%
(57%) 9W: 17.40 (15.35-20.40) 100% home, 99% twice, proj. #3 (#2-#5), Van Buren (2-2) 14%
(11%) 8W: 14.63 (12.55-18.00) 100% home, 51% twice, proj. #4 (#2-#8), Spencerville (3-1) 13%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(30%) WWWWWW: 21.15 (19.20-23.80) 100% home twice, proj. #2 (#1-#3), Van Buren (2-2) 14%
(55%) WWWWWL: 17.40 (15.35-20.25) 100% home, 99% twice, proj. #3 (#2-#5), Van Buren (2-2) 14%
( 7%) WLWWWL: 14.40 (12.55-16.60) 100% home, 43% twice, proj. #5 (#2-#8), Spencerville (3-1) 12%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 143.9, #87, D6 #3), appears locked in and likely home, 93% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 145.6, #81, D6 #3), appears locked in and likely home, 95% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 146.7, #78, D6 #3), appears locked in, 97% home, 81% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 131.0, #149, D6 #5), 96% (bubble if 5-5), 76% home (maybe if 7-3), 44% twice (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 129.3, #167, D6 #5), 97% (bubble if 4-6), 73% home (maybe if 7-3), 43% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 139.4