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Rankings
#39 of 108 in Division 6
#8 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #24 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #15 in D6 (+118 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 28-27 H #424 Huntington (5-3) D6 R24, pick: L by 6 (39%), perf. rating 90
08/28 W 16-14 H #239 West Jefferson (7-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 32 (5%), perf. rating 118
09/04 W 31-0 H #674 Buckeye Trail (0-8) D6 R23, pick: W by 27 (93%), perf. rating 77
09/11 W 15-6 A #322 Worthington Christian (5-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 18 (14%), perf. rating 122
09/18 L 28-21 A #292 Mount Vernon (2-6) D2 R7, pick: L by 8 (31%), perf. rating 102
09/25 L 42-28 A #169 Johnstown (6-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 24 (6%), perf. rating 108
10/02 W 52-30 H #620 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-8) D4 R15, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 84
10/10 W 41-12 H #487 Northridge (3-5) D6 R23, pick: W by 15 (84%), perf. rating 123
10/16 A #250 Heath (5-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/24 H #421 Utica (2-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
15.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 84% home (maybe if 6-4), 14% bye (likely needs 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.60 (15.55-19.55) 100% home, 88% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 88%
Lose: 15.25 (11.80-16.80) 100% in, 81% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Centerburg (6-2) 27%
Based on eventual number of wins
(14%) 8W: 18.60 (17.30-19.55) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 95%
(67%) 7W: 15.40 (13.55-17.80) 100% in, 95% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#9), Elgin (6-2) 30%
(19%) 6W: 13.65 (11.80-14.95) 100% in, 31% home, proj. #9 (#6-#11), Centerburg (6-2) 48%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(14%) WW: 18.60 (17.30-19.55) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#5), bye 95%
( 2%) WL: 16.95 (15.55-17.80) 100% home, 31% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#8), Berne Union (5-3) 31%
(66%) LW: 15.35 (13.55-16.80) 100% in, 95% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#9), Elgin (6-2) 31%
(19%) LL: 13.65 (11.80-14.95) 100% in, 31% home, proj. #9 (#6-#11), Centerburg (6-2) 48%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 98.1, #372, D6 #44), likely in, 83% home (maybe if 6-4), 12% bye (likely needs 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 98.9, #375, D6 #40), likely in, 88% home (likely needs 6-4), 26% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 5 (4-1, 97.7, #380, D6 #44), likely in, 83% home (maybe if 6-4), 27% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 4 (4-0, 97.5, #386, D6 #43), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 74% home (maybe if 6-4), 33% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Week 3 (3-0, 88.7, #442, D6 #56), 52% (bubble if 6-4), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 84.3, #469, D6 #61), 40% (bubble if 6-4), 14% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 70.6, #558, D6 #75), 7% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 68.1, #569, D6 #77), 9% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 68.6